Activity Feed
picked Middle Tennessee -7.5 (1u)
College Basketball
W
Middle Tennessee -7.5 vs UTEP: backing the home favorite at a key-ish number. Total is low (139.5), so this is a smaller stake, but I see a path to margin …
picked Liberty -1.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Liberty +1.5 at Kennesaw State: taking points with a disciplined team profile in a near pick’em. In this range I want the extra possession of cushion (+1.5) in what projects …
picked Memphis -1.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Memphis -1.5 vs Wichita State: near pick’em with Memphis at home. I prefer the higher-ceiling roster in a small spread game; -1.5 captures win-by-2+ without paying ML juice.
picked Chattanooga -3.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Chattanooga -3.5 vs UNC Greensboro: short number for the home side in a league game with a high-ish total (156.5). I’m backing the home team in a game likely decided …
picked Purdue -7.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Purdue -7.5 at home in a marquee spot: I’ll lay the points with the more stable half-court team and home-court edge. With a modest total (142.5), each possession is worth …
picked Santa Clara +5.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Saint Mary’s +5.5 vs Santa Clara: catching points at home in a WCC matchup where SMC’s style (slow pace, shot quality, defensive rebounding) plays up. +5.5 gives protection in a …
picked North Texas +1.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
North Texas -1.5 at Charlotte: small road number for a pace-control defense-first profile that travels well. In close spreads, I’ll side with the team more likely to dictate tempo and …
picked Northern Iowa -5.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Northern Iowa -5.5 vs Illinois State: low total (131.5) increases the value of the better half-court/defensive team laying a mid number. UNI games often compress possessions; I like them to …
picked UConn -5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
UConn -5 vs St. John’s: pricing implies a modest gap, but UConn’s typical physicality/rebounding and half-court efficiency at home is a strong edge. Laying 5 is reasonable vs a St. …
picked San Diego State -1.5 (4u)
College Basketball
W
San Diego State -1.5: buy-low spot in a likely slower, half-court game where SDSU’s defense/home edge tends to matter more than 1–2 possessions. Short number with ML essentially a coinflip …
picked Missouri +3.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
Value on Tennessee +3.5: defense can travel and they can win outright; spread implies too much separation between these teams.
picked Notre Dame +17.5 (4u)
College Basketball
L
Big number feels like Duke tax; ND can shorten the game at home and has strong backdoor potential if Duke rotates late.
picked Under 150.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
USC-UCLA rivalry spot tends to be more half-court/physical; 150.5 is inflated for a game that can slow and tighten late.
picked Under 135.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Big spread with modest total profile leans under—pace suppression/blowout clock effects can keep scoring below 135.5.
picked North Carolina +2.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
High total (162.5) increases variance; prefer the dog +2.5 in what projects as a back-and-forth game.
picked Kansas +2.5 (4u)
College Basketball
W
Low total (138.5) amplifies point value; +2.5 in a near pick’em favors taking the points in a possession game.
picked Northern Kentucky +3.5 (1u)
College Basketball
L
Northern Kentucky -3.5 at Youngstown State: laying a reasonable road number with the steadier program; NKU’s defense/travel experience tends to hold up in Horizon road spots.
picked Cleveland State +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Cleveland State -2.5 vs Purdue Fort Wayne: modest spread at home in a high-total game; trust CSU to generate enough rim/transition pressure to separate late.
picked Florida Atlantic +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
North Texas +2.5 vs Florida Atlantic: getting points with a slow-tempo, defensive profile that keeps margins tight; value grabbing the dog in what projects as a grind.
picked Wisconsin -2.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
Wisconsin -2.5 vs Iowa: short number for a reliable home-court/defense edge; prefer backing the more consistent half-court team laying under a possession.
picked Kentucky ML (1u)
College Basketball
L
Kentucky ML +130 at Auburn: taking the plus money in a near pick’em (Auburn -2.5) spot. If Kentucky’s shot-making shows up, the upside is worth it at +130; keep stake …
picked Over 154 (1u)
College Basketball
L
North Carolina at Syracuse OVER 154: both teams are priced in a higher-tempo range and 154 isn’t prohibitive given likely transition looks + free throws late in a tight spread …
picked UConn -2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
UConn +2.5 at Villanova: short number for a team that typically travels with defense/rebounding. Getting points vs a half-court Villanova team gives margin if it turns into a late-game grinder; …
picked BYU +4.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
Iowa State +4.5 at BYU: grabbing points with the more reliable defensive profile in a game priced like a clear BYU edge. +4.5 is a key-ish cushion in a matchup …
picked Purdue -10.5 (1u)
College Basketball
W
Purdue -10.5. Home dominance plus matchup leverage inside makes Purdue live to cover if they avoid prolonged scoring droughts. Indiana can hang around, so this is a smaller stake at …
picked Mount St. Mary's -7 (2u)
College Basketball
W
Mount St. Mary’s -7. Niagara has struggled to score consistently, and a 130 total implies a grinder where efficiency/turnover edge matters. Laying 7 is acceptable if the Mount controls pace/boards …
picked Princeton +1.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Princeton -1.5. In a short number, I’ll side with the more reliable half-court execution and shot quality profile; Princeton typically travels well stylistically (lower-variance offense, fewer mistakes) in Ivy road …
picked VCU +7.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
VCU -7.5. Trust the Rams’ defensive pressure/athleticism edge and ability to create easy points vs a Saint Louis team that can get loose with the ball. Number is a bit …