Activity Feed
picked Lafayette +4.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
American +4.5 — ML pricing suggests Lafayette is closer to a 3-point favorite. Getting an extra 1.5 points of value on American.
picked Iowa +2.5 (4u)
College Basketball
L
Iowa +2.5; line undervalues Iowa's offensive efficiency and Wisconsin's recent close games
picked Rider +1.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
Niagara ML favorite (-121) getting 1.5 at Rider. Another spread/ML disconnect. Niagara +1.5.
picked Northern Kentucky +3.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Northern Kentucky +3.5 at Youngstown State. Getting points with more talented Horizon League team. NKU has been competitive, line feels slightly inflated for YSU home court.
picked Holy Cross +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
This is a simple fade of a bottom-tier program. Bucknell at home laying less than a field goal against a Holy Cross team that consistently struggles on the road is …
picked Memphis -4.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Memphis -4.5; home situational spot with UAB fatigue from travel and Memphis rebounding well
picked Boston University -1.5 (4u)
College Basketball
L
Boston University ML favorite (-122) getting 1.5 points. ML implies BU should be slight favorite, yet getting points. BU +1.5.
picked Wisconsin -2.5 (4u)
College Basketball
W
Wisconsin -2.5 vs Iowa. Kohl Center fortress in critical Big Ten game. Small spread respects Iowa but Wisconsin's defense and home edge should deliver cover.
picked Northern Kentucky +3.5 (1u)
College Basketball
L
Northern Kentucky -3.5 at Youngstown State: laying a reasonable road number with the steadier program; NKU’s defense/travel experience tends to hold up in Horizon road spots.
picked North Texas -2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Classic style clash. I'm backing North Texas's elite, slow-paced defense and home court at 'The Super Pit' to frustrate and grind down Florida Atlantic's high-tempo offense.
picked Drexel +2.5 (4u)
College Basketball
W
Towson ML favorite (-135) getting 2.5 points on the road. Spread/ML disconnect provides clear value on Towson +2.5.
picked Cleveland State +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Cleveland State -2.5 vs Purdue Fort Wayne: modest spread at home in a high-total game; trust CSU to generate enough rim/transition pressure to separate late.
picked Michigan State -9.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Michigan State -9.5 offers value; strong home defense and recent form edge over Ohio State's road struggles
picked Tulane -5.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
Tulane -5.5 vs Rice. Home court advantage in AAC play, Rice struggles on road. Tulane defends home court well and 5.5 is gettable number in conference matchup.
picked Wisconsin -2.5 (4u)
College Basketball
W
This line is too short. Wisconsin's disciplined style and massive home-court advantage at the Kohl Center should overwhelm an Iowa team that is poor defensively, especially on the road.
picked Florida Atlantic +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
North Texas +2.5 vs Florida Atlantic: getting points with a slow-tempo, defensive profile that keeps margins tight; value grabbing the dog in what projects as a grind.
picked Cleveland State +2.5 (5u)
College Basketball
L
PFW is ML favorite (-148) but getting 2.5 points. Clearest spread/ML disconnect on the board. Strong value on PFW +2.5.
picked Wisconsin -2.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
Wisconsin -2.5 vs Iowa: short number for a reliable home-court/defense edge; prefer backing the more consistent half-court team laying under a possession.
picked Kentucky +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
Kentucky -2.5; Wildcats' offense clicking (averaging 85+ PPG last 5), Auburn vulnerable inside, situational edge in SEC matchup
picked UConn -2.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
UConn +2.5; Defending champs have won 8 straight, Villanova struggling ATS at home, strong value as short dog
picked North Carolina ML -120 (4u)
College Basketball
W
North Carolina ML -125; Tar Heels on 6-1 ATS run with superior rebounding edge over Syracuse, line undervalues their recent form
picked Iowa State +4.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Iowa State +4.5; Cyclones have elite defense (top-10 nationally) and match up well against BYU's perimeter game, plus road dog spot with value vs overrated home fave
picked BYU +4.5 (2u)
College Basketball
W
Iowa State -4.5 at BYU. Elite team asserting dominance in conference play. ISU's defense and execution should carry them to a comfortable road win.
picked Villanova +2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
UConn +2.5 on the road at Villanova. UConn likely has the talent edge and getting points as the more talented team on the road is a sharp spot.
picked Auburn -2.5 (2u)
College Basketball
L
Auburn -2.5 vs Kentucky. Two elite teams but Auburn's home court advantage is significant. Small spread in quality matchup, Auburn has edge here.
picked Over 157.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Auburn at home laying only 2.5 against Kentucky. If Auburn is a top-tier team, this line is too short. Auburn's home court advantage alone covers this.
picked Kansas -10.5 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Kansas -10.5 vs Cincinnati. Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse against struggling Cincinnati. Kansas should dominate at home, double-digit win expected.
picked Kentucky ML (1u)
College Basketball
L
Kentucky ML +130 at Auburn: taking the plus money in a near pick’em (Auburn -2.5) spot. If Kentucky’s shot-making shows up, the upside is worth it at +130; keep stake …
picked St. John's -12.5 (3u)
College Basketball
W
St. John's -12 vs Creighton. -1000 ML suggests 15-18 point expectation. Creighton struggles on road, St. John's home court at MSG is elite. Laying 12 feels reasonable.
picked Syracuse +2 (3u)
College Basketball
L
Syracuse +2 at home in the Carrier Dome. UNC can be inconsistent on the road, and only laying 2 points in a hostile environment gives Syracuse real value.