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All Picks
Tuesday, Mar 3
14W-16L
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TOW
Towson
-1
@
STBK
Stony Brook
Towson -1
WIN
Gary Neal is the best player on the floor, Stony Brook can't create offense, and the road favorite with revenge is the sharp side in a low-scoring grind.
USU
Utah State
-7.5
@
UNLV
UNLV
Under 155.5
LOSS
Utah State's glacial pace and defensive efficiency will grind this into the low 140s against UNLV's inconsistent scoring at home.
ULM
UL Monroe
@
ODU
Old Dominion
-10.5
Old Dominion -10.5
LOSS
Old Dominion's 7-6 home strength crushes UL Monroe's disastrous 1-15 road record — pace control and defensive pressure create a double-digit blowout.
MSST
Mississippi State
@
FLA
Florida
-23.5
Florida -23.5
WIN
Florida's elite offense and home dominance meet Mississippi State's collapsing defense and brutal road form — Gators cover by double digits.
NEB
Nebraska
@
UCLA
UCLA
-1.5
UCLA -1.5
WIN
UCLA's 16-2 home dominance and elite offensive balance will overwhelm Nebraska's road struggles and anemic scoring
SOU
Southern
@
ALST
Alabama State
-1.5
Alabama State -1.5
LOSS
Alabama State exploits Southern's road struggles and defensive leakage, catching value on a confused market with books disagreeing by 3 points.
TOL
Toledo
@
M-OH
Miami (OH)
-8.5
Miami (OH) -8.5
LOSS
Miami's suffocating defense and turnover margin will overwhelm Toledo's road struggles in a statement home win
GCU
Grand Canyon
-20.5
@
AF
Air Force
Under 141.5
LOSS
Air Force's anemic offense (61.2 PPG) meets a GCU road team that grinds games down — this total is 3-4 points inflated and hits the under comfortably.
HAMP
Hampton
@
W&M
William & Mary
-11.5
William & Mary -11.5
LOSS
Hampton is 3-13 on the road and got demolished in recent away games; William & Mary protects home court at 10-2 and has the offensive weapons to exploit Hampton's 17.7 turnovers per game
SYR
Syracuse
@
LOU
Louisville
-12.5
Louisville -12.5
WIN
Louisville's elite home performance and Syracuse's 2-9 road record create a mismatch the 12.5-point spread undervalues in a hostile KFC Yum! Center environment
ALA
Alabama
-1.5
@
UGA
Georgia
Alabama -1.5
LOSS
Alabama's elite shooting efficiency (four players above 43% from three) exploits Georgia's porous perimeter defense in a game the books are pricing for pace instead of shot quality.
CLEM
Clemson
@
UNC
North Carolina
-4.5
North Carolina -3.5
WIN
UNC's 18-1 home dominance and interior firepower will overwhelm Clemson's inconsistent road offense — lay the points with confidence
UMBC
UMBC
-6.5
@
NJIT
NJIT
UMBC -5.5
WIN
NJIT's broken offense (55.9 PPG, 35.6% FG) has no answer for UMBC's defense and disciplined execution — line is too tight
WAKE
Wake Forest
@
UVA
Virginia
-14.5
Under 148.5
WIN
Virginia's offense is broken after scoring 51 at Duke, and their home games turn into defensive slogs — this stays well under 148.5 in a grind-it-out affair
OKST
Oklahoma State
@
UCF
UCF
-8.5
UCF -8.5
LOSS
Oklahoma State is 3-7 on the road and just got demolished by 23 at Cincinnati — UCF's home dominance (15-4) and balanced offensive attack covers easily.
HC
Holy Cross
@
LAF
Lafayette
-3.5
Over 141.5
WIN
Revenge rematch with pace, offensive firepower, and defensive gaps — Over 141.5 is the sharp play in a game that should mirror their 169-point regulation slugfest two weeks ago
GMU
George Mason
@
VCU
VCU
-11.5
VCU -11.5
LOSS
VCU's uptempo havoc defense at home exploits George Mason's road struggles and low shooting efficiency for a comfortable double-digit win.
GTWN
Georgetown
@
SJU
St. John's
-16
St. John's -15.5
LOSS
St. John's riding elite home form and defensive pressure against a Georgetown team that's 0-5 on the road in conference play and can't crack 76 in away games
WVU
West Virginia
-2.5
@
KSU
Kansas State
Kansas State +2.5
WIN
Kansas State's elite home/road split and West Virginia's disastrous road record make this spread a gift — Wildcats cover and likely win outright
NEV
Nevada
-1.5
@
WYO
Wyoming
Wyoming +1.5
WIN
Wyoming's 13-4 home dominance and Nevada's 4-8 road disaster make this a classic home-dog winner in a low-possession slugfest at altitude.
AKR
Akron
-11.5
@
CMU
Central Michigan
Central Michigan +11.5
LOSS
CMU's 8-4 home record and Akron's modest road margins make this line 2-3 points too wide for a disciplined double-digit favorite on the road
UAPB
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
JKST
Jackson State
-1.5
Arkansas-Pine Bluff +1.5
LOSS
UAPB's interior advantage and Jackson State's defensive collapse make this a rematch mismatch — Golden Lions cover the hook and likely win outright.
ORE
Oregon
@
ILL
Illinois
-18.5
Oregon +18.5
LOSS
Oregon's elite shooting and competitive road form make 18.5 points too many against an inconsistent Illinois squad coming off a blowout home loss
SDSU
San Diego State
@
BOIS
Boise State
-1.5
Boise State -1.5
WIN
Boise State's home offensive surge (75+ PPG in last 3) and SDSU's road struggles (6-6, 3 straight away losses in recent stretch) create value on a short number.
COLO
Colorado
-1.5
@
UTAH
Utah
Utah +1.5
LOSS
Fading Colorado's 1-8 road profile in a pace mismatch grinder where Utah's home defense and line confusion create value on the home dog.
BC
Boston College
@
VT
Virginia Tech
-11.5
Boston College +11.5
WIN
BC's elite offensive firepower and desperation against a leaky VT defense keeps this within single digits despite their brutal road record
VAN
Vanderbilt
-6.5
@
MISS
Ole Miss
Ole Miss +6.5
WIN
Ole Miss's five-headed offensive attack exploits Vanderbilt's road defensive struggles; the Commodores are just 7-4 away from home with recent blowout losses.
SJSU
San Jose State
@
FRES
Fresno State
-7.5
Fresno State -7.5
WIN
Fresno State's 10-8 home dominance crushes San Jose State's 2-11 road disaster, covering the 7.5-point spread with ease.
UNCW
UNC Wilmington
-4.5
@
ELON
Elon
Elon +4.5
LOSS
Short-rest favorite in a letdown spot against a home dog with size and desperation — Elon covers the 4.5.
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
@
GB
Green Bay
-6.5
Purdue Fort Wayne +6.5
LOSS
Purdue Fort Wayne's offense has exploded since the first matchup (82.6 PPG in last five vs 59 in blowout loss), and a confused line with 1-point disagreement across books screams value on the dog.