All Picks

RICE Rice @ UNT North Texas -7.5

North Texas -7.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

North Texas controls pace at home and turns this into a defensive grind that Rice's road offense can't handle

EIU Eastern Illinois @ SIUE SIU Edwardsville -4.5

SIU Edwardsville -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

SIUE dismantled EIU by 27 four days ago at home, exploiting defensive matchups and pace control that won't change in a rematch against a 3-13 road team with fresh psychological scars.

STO Stonehill @ LEM Le Moyne -6.5

Le Moyne -6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Le Moyne's elite home defense (10-3, holding opponents under 60 repeatedly) crushes a Stonehill squad that's 3-14 on the road and averaging 62 ppg.

YSU Youngstown State @ RMU Robert Morris -4.5

Robert Morris -4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Robert Morris's balanced attack and home dominance overwhelm a Youngstown State team that can't score on the road — lay the 4.5 before it moves to 6.

UL Louisiana @ JMU James Madison -6.5

Louisiana +6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Louisiana's pace and scoring efficiency exploits James Madison's offensive struggles, and the line move from -4.5 to -6.5 is a classic overreaction to a bad road record without context.

USC USC @ WASH Washington -6.5

Washington -6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Washington catches a broken USC team on a 5-game skid with home-court advantage and the size to dominate.

BAY Baylor @ HOU Houston -14.5

Baylor +14.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Baylor's superior shooting efficiency and market line divergence make them a sharp play to cover in a tight, low-possession grind

MD Maryland @ WIS Wisconsin -14.5

Over 154.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Maryland's chaos-ball style and Wisconsin's recent offensive surge create a pace mismatch the market hasn't priced — Over 154.5 is 4-5 points too low.

PUR Purdue -11.5 @ NU Northwestern

Purdue -11.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Purdue's defensive intensity and talent gap crush Northwestern's inflated offensive momentum in a road cover by 15+.

LUC Loyola Chicago @ SLU Saint Louis -22.5

Under 156.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Loyola Chicago can't score in structured halfcourt sets, and Saint Louis forces exactly that style — back the Under in a pace-controlled beatdown.

CAL California -2.5 @ GT Georgia Tech

California -2.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Cal's dominant frontcourt feasts on GT's dead defense in a bounce-back spot after a home embarrassment

STAN Stanford -1.5 @ ND Notre Dame

Notre Dame +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Notre Dame's 11-6 home dominance and uptempo attack exploits Stanford's road struggles and pace mismatch in a line the sharps have already flipped

JAX Jacksonville @ BELL Bellarmine -1.5

Jacksonville +1.5

LOSS

Jacksonville's rebounding edge and recent offensive surge exploits Bellarmine's slow tempo and home struggles — take the points with the hotter team

WAG Wagner @ CCSU Central Connecticut -5.5

Wagner +4.5

WIN

Wagner's 4-game win streak and superior recent form makes this spread 2 points too high — take the surging dog getting a full touchdown.

KC Kansas City @ ORU Oral Roberts -8.5

Oral Roberts -8.5

WIN

Oral Roberts demolished Kansas City 94-70 four days ago and the Roos are 1-15 on the road with zero fight left — lay the points at home.

FSU Florida State -2.5 @ PITT Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh +2.5

WIN

Pittsburgh's home offensive efficiency and pace advantage make them a live dog against a Florida State team being overvalued for their recent hot streak on the road.

MARQ Marquette @ PROV Providence -5.5

Marquette +4.5

WIN

Marquette's road struggles are overpriced in this number — they're more talented and efficient than a 1-10 away record suggests, and +4.5 is too many points against a Providence team that's merely sol

FDU Fairleigh Dickinson @ MERC Mercyhurst -4.5

Mercyhurst -4.5

WIN

Mercyhurst's home defense and FDU's road turnover plague make this a clear fade of the 3-14 away Knights.

ODU Old Dominion @ GASO Georgia Southern -2.5

Georgia Southern -2.5

WIN

Georgia Southern at home with 5 days rest vs. an exhausted road team on 24 hours rest — the scheduling angle is brutal and the offensive gap is massive.

DUQ Duquesne @ URI Rhode Island -1.5

Duquesne +1.5

LOSS

Duquesne's superior shooting (44.5% FG, 36.6% 3P) and backcourt duo are being overlooked against a Rhode Island team that's lost five of six and can't score.

JOES Saint Joseph's @ DAV Davidson -3.5

Saint Joseph's +3.5

WIN

Saint Joseph's is the sharper, more balanced team on a four-game win streak, and Davidson's home court and recent grinding wins are overvalued in this short number.

SBU St. Bonaventure @ GW George Washington -9.5

George Washington -9.5

LOSS

George Washington controls tempo at home and exploits St. Bonaventure's road struggles in a pace mismatch that favors the grind-it-out Revolutionaries.

CLE Cleveland State @ WRST Wright State -15.5

Cleveland State +14.5

LOSS

Cleveland State's home/away split and Wright State's inability to consistently blow teams out makes this inflated line a clear value grab at +14.5.

UAB UAB -1.5 @ CLT Charlotte

Charlotte +1.5

LOSS

Charlotte's elite home/road split and pace control exposes UAB's recent offensive struggles — 49ers cover and likely win outright

CSU Colorado State @ UNM New Mexico -9.5

New Mexico -8.5

LOSS

New Mexico's home dominance and defensive pressure exploits Colorado State's road woes and turnover issues — Lobos cover in The Pit

NKU Northern Kentucky @ OAK Oakland -2.5

Northern Kentucky +2.5

WIN

Pace mismatch and rebounding edge make Northern Kentucky live as a road dog in a game that slows to their tempo.

TEX Texas @ ARK Arkansas -7.5

Arkansas -7.5

WIN

Arkansas controls pace at home, exploits Texas's road struggles, and wins a grind-it-out SEC battle by double digits

CREI Creighton @ BUT Butler -2.5

Butler -2.5

LOSS

Butler's seven-day rest advantage and 11-6 home dominance crushes a mentally fried Creighton team that's 3-10 on the road and lost 5 of 6.

VILL Villanova -2.5 @ DEP DePaul

DePaul +2.5

LOSS

DePaul's fortress at home (12-5) against a Villanova squad still reeling from a 32-point embarrassment and struggling on the road

FOR Fordham -2.5 @ LAS La Salle

La Salle +2.5

WIN

La Salle's home/road splits and recent form make them undervalued against a Fordham team that struggles on the road in low-possession grinders