Archive
All Picks
Thursday, Feb 26
6W-9L
Full card →
NE
Northeastern
@
W&M
William & Mary
-11.5
Northeastern +11.5
WIN
William & Mary is 1-4 in their last five and laying double digits against a better-on-the-road Northeastern team that has the offensive firepower to keep this within single digits
URI
Rhode Island
@
SBU
St. Bonaventure
-2.5
Rhode Island +2.5
LOSS
St. Bonaventure's defense is completely broken (82.7 PPG allowed last 3 games) while Rhode Island thrives in low-possession grind games — taking the points with the road dog.
NAU
Northern Arizona
@
IDHO
Idaho
-10.5
Northern Arizona +10.5
LOSS
NAU's elite shooting and offensive balance keeps this competitive against Idaho's slow-grind pace in a line that's a point too high.
HPU
High Point
-11.5
@
PRES
Presbyterian
Presbyterian +11.5
WIN
Presbyterian's 10-3 home fortress meets High Point's 7-3 road mediocrity — pace mismatch and desperate home energy keep this within single digits
UCR
UC Riverside
@
UCSB
UC Santa Barbara
-11.5
UC Santa Barbara -11.5
LOSS
UCSB's elite shooters and home dominance (11-3) will snap their losing streak against a UCR squad that's 3-13 on the road and got handled two weeks ago in the first meeting
UPST
South Carolina Upstate
@
RAD
Radford
-6.5
South Carolina Upstate +6.5
LOSS
Upstate's defensive pressure and turnover creation keep this tight in a low-possession grinder where Radford can't separate
WIU
Western Illinois
@
SIUE
SIU Edwardsville
-14.5
SIU Edwardsville -14.5
WIN
SIUE returns home after road trip disaster to face 1-14 road team — home/away split and defensive matchup advantage makes this a clear play
STBK
Stony Brook
@
MONM
Monmouth
-4
Stony Brook +4.5
LOSS
Stony Brook is the sharper offensive team with revenge motivation and an offensive rebounding edge that should keep this tight — grabbing the points with the better shooting squad in a bloated line
UTEP
UTEP
@
MTSU
Middle Tennessee
-7.5
UTEP +7.5
LOSS
UTEP's 62-point scoring trio can exploit Middle Tennessee's defensive slippage — road underdog catches 7.5 in a game trending toward single digits.
BCU
Bethune-Cookman
-1.5
@
GRAM
Grambling
Grambling +1.5
LOSS
Grambling's 8-3 home dominance and rim protection exploit Bethune-Cookman's road woes and interior-heavy attack
MSU
Michigan State
@
PUR
Purdue
-7.5
Michigan State +7.5
WIN
Michigan State gets immediate revenge after a blowout loss, and the market is already moving toward them — BetRivers down to 6.5, giving us a full point of value on a Spartans team that doesn't fold o
DEN
Denver
-4.5
@
ORU
Oral Roberts
Denver -4.5
LOSS
Denver's ability to win on the road meets an Oral Roberts squad that literally cannot win away from home — lay the number with the better team and superior recent form.
SAC
Sacramento State
@
MONT
Montana
-7.5
Montana -7.5
WIN
Montana avenges a home loss against a Sacramento State team that's 0-14 on the road and can't defend away from their gym
UML
UMass Lowell
@
UVM
Vermont
-10.5
UMass Lowell +10.5
WIN
UMass Lowell's 4-1 surge (87.6 PPG) against Vermont's flat recent form (70 PPG last two) makes this double-digit spread an overreaction to road splits.
PRST
Portland State
@
MTST
Montana State
-2.5
Portland State +2.5
LOSS
Portland State already beat Montana State by 9 three weeks ago and is the more physical, efficient team — taking the points with the side that proved it can win this matchup.
Wednesday, Feb 25
9W-6L
Full card →
USU
Utah State
@
SDSU
San Diego State
-1.5
Utah State +1.5
LOSS
Utah State is the better team with superior shooting efficiency, already beat SDSU head-to-head three weeks ago, and the books are gifting us points on recency bias.
XAV
Xavier
@
PROV
Providence
-6.5
Providence -6.5
WIN
Xavier is 1-8 on the road and gets bulldozed by a Providence squad that's 9-5 at home with a lethal 1-2 punch and dominant rebounding edge
EVAN
Evansville
@
BEL
Belmont
-20.5
Belmont -20.5
WIN
Belmont's balanced elite offense and home dominance will overwhelm a spiraling Evansville squad that's 2-11 on the road and coming off a 38-point home loss.
UGA
Georgia
@
VAN
Vanderbilt
-9.5
Georgia +9.5
WIN
Georgia's superior offense, rebounding edge, and road form make this 9.5-point spread 2-3 points too high against a Vandy team limping through back-to-back losses
DEP
DePaul
@
CREI
Creighton
-4.5
Creighton -4.5
LOSS
Creighton gets revenge at home where they're 11-4 and elite, while DePaul's 2-8 road split and defensive collapse away from home (75.1 PPG allowed) sets up a double-digit cover.
TLSA
Tulsa
-4.5
@
TULN
Tulane
Tulsa -4.5
WIN
Tulsa's offensive depth and road pedigree makes them the better team catching soft points in a pace-up spot against a grind-it-out Tulane squad
NKU
Northern Kentucky
-7.5
@
CLE
Cleveland State
Northern Kentucky -7.5
WIN
Northern Kentucky's discipline and depth overwhelm a Cleveland State team that's lost five straight and can't stop anyone—Norse cover the 7.5.
BUT
Butler
@
VILL
Villanova
-9.5
Villanova -9.5
LOSS
Villanova's post-loss fury and rebounding dominance crush Butler's 4-7 road squad in a mismatch the line undersells
GMU
George Mason
@
JOES
Saint Joseph's
-1.5
Saint Joseph's -1.5
WIN
Saint Joe's revenge spot at home with five deep scorers against a George Mason team that's lost 4 of 5 by double digits and can't score on the road.
OSU
Ohio State
@
IOWA
Iowa
-6.5
Ohio State +6.5
LOSS
Line disagreement across books and Iowa's recent home struggles make Ohio State +6.5 a sharp play in a low-possession grind
QUC
Queens University
-1.5
@
EKU
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky +1.5
LOSS
Eastern Kentucky is 8-5 at home facing a Queens team that shoots 35.7% overall and 17.4% from three while going 5-10 on the road — the wrong team is favored by 1.5.
DAV
Davidson
@
DUQ
Duquesne
-2.5
Davidson +3.5
WIN
Davidson's elite shooting and tempo control against a turnover-prone Duquesne squad creates a pace mismatch the market hasn't priced in — road dogs with firepower cash tickets
CIT
The Citadel
@
FUR
Furman
-15.5
Furman -15.5
WIN
Furman at home exploits a road-weary Citadel defense that's bleeding points and has quit on the season — lay the points.
MSST
Mississippi State
@
ALA
Alabama
-14.5
Alabama -14.5
WIN
Alabama's 96 PPG offensive explosion meets Mississippi State's road defensive collapse — Tide cover double digits in conference play at home
OAK
Oakland
-5.5
@
IUIN
IU Indianapolis
Over 170.5
LOSS
Two offense-first, defense-optional teams with 150+ combined PPG and a total priced for a grinder — smash the over.