Archive
All Picks
Thursday, Feb 26
1W-5L
Full card →
MERC
Mercyhurst
@
CCSU
Central Connecticut
-3.5
Mercyhurst +4.5
WIN
Fading Central Connecticut's bounce-back spot after a 51-point disaster, backing Mercyhurst's road firepower to keep this within a possession
NAU
Northern Arizona
@
IDHO
Idaho
-10.5
Northern Arizona +10.5
LOSS
NAU's elite shooting and offensive balance keeps this competitive against Idaho's slow-grind pace in a line that's a point too high.
FGCU
Florida Gulf Coast
-6.5
@
UNF
North Florida
Florida Gulf Coast -5.5
LOSS
FGCU has won four straight, beat North Florida by 9 two weeks ago, and has the interior dominance to exploit a reeling Ospreys team that's 0-6 in their last six.
UCR
UC Riverside
@
UCSB
UC Santa Barbara
-11.5
UC Santa Barbara -11.5
LOSS
UCSB's elite shooters and home dominance (11-3) will snap their losing streak against a UCR squad that's 3-13 on the road and got handled two weeks ago in the first meeting
UPST
South Carolina Upstate
@
RAD
Radford
-6.5
South Carolina Upstate +6.5
LOSS
Upstate's defensive pressure and turnover creation keep this tight in a low-possession grinder where Radford can't separate
PRST
Portland State
@
MTST
Montana State
-2.5
Portland State +2.5
LOSS
Portland State already beat Montana State by 9 three weeks ago and is the more physical, efficient team — taking the points with the side that proved it can win this matchup.
Wednesday, Feb 25
15W-9L
Full card →
SCU
Santa Clara
@
SMC
Saint Mary's
-5.5
Saint Mary's -5.5
WIN
Saint Mary's 15-0 home fortress crushes a Santa Clara defense that's given up 90+ twice in three road games — offensive rebounding mismatch and depth win this by double digits
MORG
Morgan State
@
SCST
South Carolina State
-1.5
Morgan State +1.5
WIN
Morgan State's ball security and shooting efficiency against a home-dependent South Carolina State team that's 1-15 on the road makes the Bears live as short road dogs.
ILST
Illinois State
@
UNI
Northern Iowa
-6.5
Under 131.5
LOSS
Illinois State is 4-9 on the road and UNI's home defense locks down in low-possession games — under 131.5 is 5-6 points off.
CIT
The Citadel
@
FUR
Furman
-15.5
Furman -15.5
WIN
Furman at home exploits a road-weary Citadel defense that's bleeding points and has quit on the season — lay the points.
OAK
Oakland
-5.5
@
IUIN
IU Indianapolis
Over 170.5
LOSS
Two offense-first, defense-optional teams with 150+ combined PPG and a total priced for a grinder — smash the over.
UNT
North Texas
-1.5
@
CLT
Charlotte
North Texas +1.5
WIN
Charlotte's home record is inflated by cupcakes, while North Texas has wins over elite conference opponents and superior offensive efficiency — plus books are already moving the line toward the Mean G
GMU
George Mason
@
JOES
Saint Joseph's
-1.5
Saint Joseph's -1.5
WIN
Saint Joe's revenge spot at home with five deep scorers against a George Mason team that's lost 4 of 5 by double digits and can't score on the road.
DAV
Davidson
@
DUQ
Duquesne
-2.5
Davidson +3.5
WIN
Davidson's elite shooting and tempo control against a turnover-prone Duquesne squad creates a pace mismatch the market hasn't priced in — road dogs with firepower cash tickets
BUT
Butler
@
VILL
Villanova
-9.5
Villanova -9.5
LOSS
Villanova's post-loss fury and rebounding dominance crush Butler's 4-7 road squad in a mismatch the line undersells
NKU
Northern Kentucky
-7.5
@
CLE
Cleveland State
Northern Kentucky -7.5
WIN
Northern Kentucky's discipline and depth overwhelm a Cleveland State team that's lost five straight and can't stop anyone—Norse cover the 7.5.
XAV
Xavier
@
PROV
Providence
-6.5
Providence -6.5
WIN
Xavier is 1-8 on the road and gets bulldozed by a Providence squad that's 9-5 at home with a lethal 1-2 punch and dominant rebounding edge
DEP
DePaul
@
CREI
Creighton
-4.5
Creighton -4.5
LOSS
Creighton gets revenge at home where they're 11-4 and elite, while DePaul's 2-8 road split and defensive collapse away from home (75.1 PPG allowed) sets up a double-digit cover.
UGA
Georgia
@
VAN
Vanderbilt
-9.5
Georgia +9.5
WIN
Georgia's superior offense, rebounding edge, and road form make this 9.5-point spread 2-3 points too high against a Vandy team limping through back-to-back losses
OSU
Ohio State
@
IOWA
Iowa
-6.5
Ohio State +6.5
LOSS
Line disagreement across books and Iowa's recent home struggles make Ohio State +6.5 a sharp play in a low-possession grind
EVAN
Evansville
@
BEL
Belmont
-20.5
Belmont -20.5
WIN
Belmont's balanced elite offense and home dominance will overwhelm a spiraling Evansville squad that's 2-11 on the road and coming off a 38-point home loss.
TLSA
Tulsa
-4.5
@
TULN
Tulane
Tulsa -4.5
WIN
Tulsa's offensive depth and road pedigree makes them the better team catching soft points in a pace-up spot against a grind-it-out Tulane squad
MSST
Mississippi State
@
ALA
Alabama
-14.5
Alabama -14.5
WIN
Alabama's 96 PPG offensive explosion meets Mississippi State's road defensive collapse — Tide cover double digits in conference play at home
USU
Utah State
@
SDSU
San Diego State
-1.5
Utah State +1.5
LOSS
Utah State is the better team with superior shooting efficiency, already beat SDSU head-to-head three weeks ago, and the books are gifting us points on recency bias.
QUC
Queens University
-1.5
@
EKU
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky +1.5
LOSS
Eastern Kentucky is 8-5 at home facing a Queens team that shoots 35.7% overall and 17.4% from three while going 5-10 on the road — the wrong team is favored by 1.5.
LSU
LSU
@
MISS
Ole Miss
-1.5
LSU +1.5
WIN
LSU's elite interior size and rebounding overwhelm Ole Miss's porous paint defense in a critical road spot
USD
San Diego
@
ORST
Oregon State
-6.5
Oregon State -6.5
WIN
San Diego is 2-10 on the road and Oregon State already beat them in San Diego three weeks ago—now they get the home whistle and a motivated group.
WIS
Wisconsin
-4.5
@
ORE
Oregon
Oregon +5.5
WIN
Wisconsin's 4-6 road record and Oregon's 8-10 home mark with superior shooting splits make this number 2-3 points off
TA&M
Texas A&M
@
ARK
Arkansas
-7.5
Texas A&M +7.5
LOSS
Arkansas's slow pace and poor shooting meet a high-tempo, elite-shooting Aggies backcourt — road dog value in a structural mismatch.
CARK
Central Arkansas
@
APSU
Austin Peay
-3.5
Austin Peay -3.5
LOSS
Austin Peay's 12-0 home dominance exploits Central Arkansas's 5-10 road struggles and catastrophic 25 turnovers per game.