Archive
All Picks
Wednesday, Feb 25
7W-3L
Full card →
WAKE
Wake Forest
-4.5
@
BC
Boston College
Boston College +4.5
WIN
BC's home shooting splits and Wake's 4-7 road record make 4.5 points too many in a desperation spot for the Eagles
LAF
Lafayette
@
COLG
Colgate
-9
Lafayette +9
WIN
Lafayette's efficient offense and improving road form make 9 points too many against a Colgate team on short rest after an emotional home war.
BUCK
Bucknell
@
ARMY
Army
-3.5
Army -3.5
LOSS
Army's offensive upside and home-court edge against Bucknell's woeful road shooting and pace-driven turnovers make -3.5 a gift.
DETM
Detroit Mercy
@
RMU
Robert Morris
-8.5
Robert Morris -8.5
WIN
Robert Morris's balanced scoring attack and 11-3 home dominance overwhelms a Detroit Mercy squad that's 6-8 on the road and relies too heavily on perimeter variance
ULM
UL Monroe
@
USA
South Alabama
-14.5
UL Monroe +14.5
LOSS
Monroe's rebounding edge and South Alabama's inability to blow teams out makes 14.5 points too many in a slow, grind-it-out conference game
WIS
Wisconsin
-4.5
@
ORE
Oregon
Oregon +5.5
WIN
Wisconsin's 4-6 road record and Oregon's 8-10 home mark with superior shooting splits make this number 2-3 points off
SJU
St. John's
@
CONN
UConn
-5
Under 147
WIN
Two elite defenses, 4 days rest, and a revenge narrative that slows this to a rock fight — Under 147 cashes by 6-8 points.
USD
San Diego
@
ORST
Oregon State
-6.5
Oregon State -6.5
WIN
San Diego is 2-10 on the road and Oregon State already beat them in San Diego three weeks ago—now they get the home whistle and a motivated group.
SMU
SMU
-4.5
@
CAL
California
California +3.5
WIN
California 16-3 at home with spacing and transition edge vs SMU's 3-6 road record and turnover issues — take the home dog getting 3.5.
TA&M
Texas A&M
@
ARK
Arkansas
-7.5
Texas A&M +7.5
LOSS
Arkansas's slow pace and poor shooting meet a high-tempo, elite-shooting Aggies backcourt — road dog value in a structural mismatch.
Tuesday, Feb 24
10W-9L
Full card →
UL
Louisiana
@
TROY
Troy
-11.5
Troy -12.5
WIN
Troy bounces back at home against a dysfunctional road team that's 3-11 away and turns it over 15.4 times per game against a defense that forces 9.7 steals.
CIN
Cincinnati
@
TTU
Texas Tech
-6.5
Texas Tech -6.5
WIN
Texas Tech's home dominance (15-1) and balanced offense exploits Cincinnati's glaring road struggles (2-8), with the Red Raiders covering in a double-digit win.
AUB
Auburn
-2.5
@
OU
Oklahoma
Oklahoma +1.5
WIN
Blake Griffin's paint dominance and Oklahoma's 9-5 home record crush Auburn's 3-8 road struggles in a line that should favor the Sooners.
DUKE
Duke
-17.5
@
ND
Notre Dame
Duke -17.5
WIN
Duke's elite offense and suffocating defense will blow past a soft 17.5 number against a fading Notre Dame squad that can't score or stop anyone.
USM
Southern Miss
@
ARST
Arkansas State
-9.5
Arkansas State -9.5
LOSS
Arkansas State's elite three-point shooting and home dominance overwhelms a Southern Miss team that's 3-11 on the road and lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace.
WMU
Western Michigan
@
BGSU
Bowling Green
-12.5
Bowling Green -12.5
LOSS
Bowling Green bounces back from two home losses against a Western Michigan team that's 2-12 on the road and can't defend when traveling, covering easily in a double-digit win
WASH
Washington
-4.5
@
RUTG
Rutgers
Washington -4.5
WIN
Washington's overwhelming frontcourt size and efficiency advantage exposes Rutgers' soft home resume against weak competition in a mismatch the books are protecting at -4.5.
TENN
Tennessee
-3.5
@
MIZ
Missouri
Tennessee -3.5
LOSS
Tennessee's elite defense and road form crushes Missouri's inflated home record — give me the Vols by 7.
UCF
UCF
@
BYU
BYU
-11.5
BYU -11.5
LOSS
BYU's 15-2 home dominance meets UCF's road collapse (4-4, allowing 77.8 ppg away) in a pace-up mismatch the market is undervaluing at -11.5
ISU
Iowa State
-12.5
@
UTAH
Utah
Utah +12.5
LOSS
Iowa State is just 5-4 on the road and Utah's dominant frontcourt keeps this a low-possession grind where the home dog covers easily
ASU
Arizona State
@
TCU
TCU
-6.5
TCU -6.5
WIN
TCU's 13-5 home dominance and offensive rebounding edge exploits ASU's 4-7 road struggles and defensive glass weakness for a comfortable cover.
SJSU
San Jose State
-7.5
@
AF
Air Force
San Jose State -6.5
LOSS
Air Force's 16-game losing streak and defensive collapse makes them unbackable at home against a San Jose State team that dominates the glass and has two legitimate scoring threats
BUF
Buffalo
@
AKR
Akron
-16
Under 158.5
LOSS
Buffalo's grind-it-out road style kills Akron's tempo edge — this stays in the 140s and the favorite doesn't cover a bloated number in a rock fight
UK
Kentucky
-7.5
@
SC
South Carolina
South Carolina +7.5
LOSS
Kentucky can't cover on the road and the books are begging you to lay the chalk — grab the home dog with the pace advantage.
SLU
Saint Louis
-4.5
@
DAY
Dayton
Dayton +4.5
WIN
Dayton gets revenge at home against an overvalued Saint Louis team, with line value and a raucous crowd pushing this within a bucket.
WYO
Wyoming
@
BOIS
Boise State
-8.5
Wyoming +8.5
LOSS
Wyoming's offensive firepower and rebounding edge make 8.5 too many points against a Boise squad averaging just 65 PPG and coming off a 19-point road blowout.
ODU
Old Dominion
@
MRSH
Marshall
-6.5
Marshall -6.5
WIN
Marshall's home offensive efficiency and ODU's 3-13 road record with defensive breakdowns make this a double-digit Herd win
CMU
Central Michigan
@
KENT
Kent State
-10.5
Central Michigan +11.5
WIN
CMU's firepower and rest advantage make them a live double-digit dog against a rusty Kent State team that bleeds points at home.
XAV
Xavier
@
PROV
Providence
-6.5
Xavier +5.5
Xavier's shooting efficiency and Providence's inability to blow out conference opponents make this a 3-4 point game, not a blowout
BRAD
Bradley
@
UIC
UIC
-3.5
UIC -2.5
WIN
UIC's elite home three-point shooting and Bradley's 4-7 road record with an 11-point road scoring drop make this spread 2 points too low.