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All Picks
Tuesday, Feb 24
9W-7L
Full card →
XAV
Xavier
@
PROV
Providence
-6.5
Xavier +5.5
Xavier's shooting efficiency and Providence's inability to blow out conference opponents make this a 3-4 point game, not a blowout
ARIZ
Arizona
-8.5
@
BAY
Baylor
Baylor +8.5
WIN
Baylor's slow-paced home style neutralizes Arizona's transition attack, and the line overvalues the Wildcats' road dominance against a physical, multi-threat offense that keeps games close at home.
USI
Southern Indiana
@
MORE
Morehead State
-8.5
Morehead State -8.5
LOSS
Talent gap and home dominance trump Southern Indiana's recent road grit — Morehead State's shooting efficiency creates late separation for the cover.
WVU
West Virginia
@
OKST
Oklahoma State
-1.5
Oklahoma State -1.5
WIN
West Virginia's road offense is completely broken (averaging 60 ppg in true road games), while Oklahoma State's home efficiency (69.5 ppg, 44.8% FG) remains intact despite a tough losing streak agains
NCSU
NC State
@
UVA
Virginia
-6.5
NC State +6.5
LOSS
NC State's 7-day rest advantage and balanced scoring exploits Virginia's recent defensive slippage — Wolfpack covers in a tight one.
NIU
Northern Illinois
@
TOL
Toledo
-11.5
Northern Illinois +12.5
WIN
Toledo wins but can't cover — Northern Illinois stays competitive through offensive rebounding and pace control against an inconsistent favorite
MIA
Miami
-2.5
@
FSU
Florida State
Florida State +2.5
LOSS
Florida State's home firepower and momentum against a gassed Miami team makes the home dog a sharp play in a rivalry spot.
WYO
Wyoming
@
BOIS
Boise State
-8.5
Wyoming +8.5
LOSS
Wyoming's offensive firepower and rebounding edge make 8.5 too many points against a Boise squad averaging just 65 PPG and coming off a 19-point road blowout.
UNM
New Mexico
-1.5
@
NEV
Nevada
New Mexico -1.5
LOSS
New Mexico's 7-3 road record and superior ball control make them the sharp side in a toss-up line that should be -2.5 or higher.
USC
USC
@
UCLA
UCLA
-6.5
USC +6.5
LOSS
USC's elite steal rate and balanced scoring exploits UCLA's turnover issues and shaky recent form — Trojans keep this within a possession in a rivalry game.
MINN
Minnesota
@
MICH
Michigan
-21.5
Michigan -22.5
LOSS
Michigan bounces back at home against a road-weary Minnesota squad that can't score away from home — Wolverines cover by halftime.
M-OH
Miami (OH)
-10.5
@
EMU
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan +10.5
WIN
Miami wins ugly and grinds tempo to a crawl — EMU keeps it closer than the public thinks as the undefeated RedHawks lack the offensive firepower to blow out a feisty home dog.
MARQ
Marquette
@
GTWN
Georgetown
-3.5
Under 150.5
WIN
Marquette's 0-10 road record meets Georgetown's desperate home defense — this grinds under 150.5 in a half-court slugfest.
SFPA
Saint Francis
@
NHVN
New Haven
Saint Francis +9.5
WIN
Saint Francis has the offensive firepower to keep this close against a low-scoring New Haven team that's inflated by road record perception
FRES
Fresno State
@
CSU
Colorado State
-8.5
Fresno State +8.5
WIN
Fresno's guard pressure exploits Colorado State's turnover issues — they've got the firepower to keep this inside a possession late.
BRAD
Bradley
@
UIC
UIC
-3.5
UIC -2.5
WIN
UIC's elite home three-point shooting and Bradley's 4-7 road record with an 11-point road scoring drop make this spread 2 points too low.
ODU
Old Dominion
@
MRSH
Marshall
-6.5
Marshall -6.5
WIN
Marshall's home offensive efficiency and ODU's 3-13 road record with defensive breakdowns make this a double-digit Herd win
Monday, Feb 23
5W-4L
Full card →
UNO
New Orleans
@
SFA
Stephen F. Austin
-12.5
Stephen F. Austin -13.5
LOSS
SFA is 15-0 at home with elite defensive pressure and balanced scoring — New Orleans turns it over 16.6 times per game and lacks the personnel to slow down a five-headed attack in a hostile gym.
AMCC
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
-1.5
@
SELA
SE Louisiana
Under 131.5
LOSS
Both offenses are broken, TAMUCC can't score on the road, and SE Louisiana turns road teams into turnovers — this stays under 130.
MVSU
Mississippi Valley State
@
GRAM
Grambling
-17.5
Grambling -16.5
WIN
Grambling covers at home against the 0-16 road MVSU squad that gets dominated on the glass in low-possession SWAC battles
RGV
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
MCN
McNeese
-9.5
McNeese -11.5
LOSS
McNeese's 15-0 home dominance and defensive grind crushes UTRGV's pace-dependent hot streak in a market showing line disagreement
NICH
Nicholls
@
LAM
Lamar
-2.5
Nicholls +4.5
WIN
Nicholls +4.5 in a defensive grind — grab the extra point before it moves, road dogs with balanced scoring against a reeling home favorite on a five-game skid
HOU
Houston
-2.5
@
KU
Kansas
Under 138.5
WIN
Houston's elite defense travels to a Kansas team reeling from a home blowout — this total is 5-6 points too high for a grind-it-out affair.
UIW
Incarnate Word
@
NWST
Northwestern State
-3.5
Northwestern State -2.5
WIN
Northwestern State controls pace at home and forces a road-challenged Incarnate Word into a defensive grind they can't win.
LOU
Louisville
-2.5
@
UNC
North Carolina
Louisville -2.5
LOSS
Louisville's elite offense and tempo advantage exploits UNC's recent scoring struggles and leaky perimeter defense at home
HCU
Houston Christian
@
ETAM
East Texas A&M
-3.5
Houston Christian +3.5
WIN
Houston Christian +3.5 exploits a full point of line value at DraftKings while the market sits at -2.5, backing the better offensive team with pace control against an inconsistent home favorite.
Sunday, Feb 22
2W-2L
Full card →
IONA
Iona
@
MRMK
Merrimack
-7.5
Merrimack -7.5
LOSS
Merrimack's 10-1 home dominance and pace control will suffocate Iona's road-challenged offense — take the Warriors to cover by double digits.
SPU
Saint Peter's
@
SIE
Siena
-5.5
Siena -5.5
WIN
Siena's rebounding edge and home dominance crushes a Saint Peter's team that's 3-9 on the road and fresh off four straight away losses.
IOWA
Iowa
@
WIS
Wisconsin
-3.5
Wisconsin -2.5
WIN
Wisconsin's 14-2 home dominance and five days of rest meet an Iowa team that's 4-5 on the road, averaging 62 PPG in their last two, and turns it over 15.2 times per game.
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
-2.5
@
CLE
Cleveland State
Cleveland State +2.5
LOSS
Cleveland State's home floor advantage and Purdue Fort Wayne's catastrophic road record (4-11) make the Vikings a live dog in a low-possession grind.