Archive
All Picks
Wednesday, Feb 25
6W-1L
Full card →
NAVY
Navy
-8.5
@
L-MD
Loyola Maryland
Navy -7.5
WIN
Navy's elite defense and road discipline overwhelm Loyola's volume scoring and turnover issues in a double-digit win.
DETM
Detroit Mercy
@
RMU
Robert Morris
-8.5
Robert Morris -8.5
WIN
Robert Morris's balanced scoring attack and 11-3 home dominance overwhelms a Detroit Mercy squad that's 6-8 on the road and relies too heavily on perimeter variance
URI
Rhode Island
@
SBU
St. Bonaventure
-2.5
Rhode Island +4
LOSS
Bonaventure is in freefall (1-5 last six) while URI's grinding defense and rebounding edge should keep this tight or flip it.
LEH
Lehigh
@
AMER
American University
-6.5
Lehigh +6.5
WIN
Lehigh torched American for 90 two weeks ago and the 6.5-point line undersells their scoring depth against a defense that ranks 9th in the conference
FLA
Florida
-6.5
@
TEX
Texas
Florida -6.5
WIN
Florida's elite shooting and balanced attack exploits Texas's perimeter defense after the Longhorns got torched for 91 in their last game—6.5 is light for a Gators team covering during a five-game tea
WOF
Wofford
@
ETSU
East Tennessee State
-7.5
Wofford +7.5
WIN
Line disagreement across books reveals uncertainty — Wofford's shooting efficiency and ball security keep this within a touchdown against an ETSU team that hasn't blown out quality opponents at home
LAF
Lafayette
@
COLG
Colgate
-9
Lafayette +9
WIN
Lafayette's efficient offense and improving road form make 9 points too many against a Colgate team on short rest after an emotional home war.
Tuesday, Feb 24
11W-12L
Full card →
TENN
Tennessee
-3.5
@
MIZ
Missouri
Tennessee -3.5
LOSS
Tennessee's elite defense and road form crushes Missouri's inflated home record — give me the Vols by 7.
AUB
Auburn
-2.5
@
OU
Oklahoma
Oklahoma +1.5
WIN
Blake Griffin's paint dominance and Oklahoma's 9-5 home record crush Auburn's 3-8 road struggles in a line that should favor the Sooners.
ISU
Iowa State
-12.5
@
UTAH
Utah
Utah +12.5
LOSS
Iowa State is just 5-4 on the road and Utah's dominant frontcourt keeps this a low-possession grind where the home dog covers easily
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
-8.5
@
CHI
Chicago Bulls
Charlotte Hornets +8.5
WIN
Chicago's six-game home losing streak and Charlotte's solid road form make this line 2-3 points too high — take the better team getting nearly two possessions.
MIA
Miami Heat
-6.5
@
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks -6.5
WIN
Healthy Bucks squad getting disrespected at home against a Heat team that hasn't beaten quality competition in their win streak — lay the number before it moves
BOS
Boston Celtics
-7.5
@
PHX
Phoenix Suns
Boston Celtics -6.5
WIN
Boston's defense and road form crush a Phoenix offense that just scored 77 at home and has collapsed over the last two weeks
BUF
Buffalo
@
AKR
Akron
-16
Under 158.5
LOSS
Buffalo's grind-it-out road style kills Akron's tempo edge — this stays in the 140s and the favorite doesn't cover a bloated number in a rock fight
UCF
UCF
@
BYU
BYU
-11.5
BYU -11.5
LOSS
BYU's 15-2 home dominance meets UCF's road collapse (4-4, allowing 77.8 ppg away) in a pace-up mismatch the market is undervaluing at -11.5
UK
Kentucky
-7.5
@
SC
South Carolina
South Carolina +7.5
LOSS
Kentucky can't cover on the road and the books are begging you to lay the chalk — grab the home dog with the pace advantage.
CIN
Cincinnati
@
TTU
Texas Tech
-6.5
Texas Tech -6.5
WIN
Texas Tech's home dominance (15-1) and balanced offense exploits Cincinnati's glaring road struggles (2-8), with the Red Raiders covering in a double-digit win.
USM
Southern Miss
@
ARST
Arkansas State
-9.5
Arkansas State -9.5
LOSS
Arkansas State's elite three-point shooting and home dominance overwhelms a Southern Miss team that's 3-11 on the road and lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace.
WMU
Western Michigan
@
BGSU
Bowling Green
-12.5
Bowling Green -12.5
LOSS
Bowling Green bounces back from two home losses against a Western Michigan team that's 2-12 on the road and can't defend when traveling, covering easily in a double-digit win
UL
Louisiana
@
TROY
Troy
-11.5
Troy -12.5
WIN
Troy bounces back at home against a dysfunctional road team that's 3-11 away and turns it over 15.4 times per game against a defense that forces 9.7 steals.
SLU
Saint Louis
-4.5
@
DAY
Dayton
Dayton +4.5
WIN
Dayton gets revenge at home against an overvalued Saint Louis team, with line value and a raucous crowd pushing this within a bucket.
SJSU
San Jose State
-7.5
@
AF
Air Force
San Jose State -6.5
LOSS
Air Force's 16-game losing streak and defensive collapse makes them unbackable at home against a San Jose State team that dominates the glass and has two legitimate scoring threats
ASU
Arizona State
@
TCU
TCU
-6.5
TCU -6.5
WIN
TCU's 13-5 home dominance and offensive rebounding edge exploits ASU's 4-7 road struggles and defensive glass weakness for a comfortable cover.
WASH
Washington
-4.5
@
RUTG
Rutgers
Washington -4.5
WIN
Washington's overwhelming frontcourt size and efficiency advantage exposes Rutgers' soft home resume against weak competition in a mismatch the books are protecting at -4.5.
DUKE
Duke
-17.5
@
ND
Notre Dame
Duke -17.5
WIN
Duke's elite offense and suffocating defense will blow past a soft 17.5 number against a fading Notre Dame squad that can't score or stop anyone.
M-OH
Miami (OH)
-10.5
@
EMU
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan +10.5
WIN
Miami wins ugly and grinds tempo to a crawl — EMU keeps it closer than the public thinks as the undefeated RedHawks lack the offensive firepower to blow out a feisty home dog.
CCU
Coastal Carolina
-1.5
@
GAST
Georgia State
Georgia State -1.5
LOSS
Georgia State's home/road split and pace advantage make them live against a slow Coastal team that struggles in faster environments
MINN
Minnesota
@
MICH
Michigan
-21.5
Michigan -22.5
LOSS
Michigan bounces back at home against a road-weary Minnesota squad that can't score away from home — Wolverines cover by halftime.
MIA
Miami
-2.5
@
FSU
Florida State
Florida State +2.5
LOSS
Florida State's home firepower and momentum against a gassed Miami team makes the home dog a sharp play in a rivalry spot.
WYO
Wyoming
@
BOIS
Boise State
-8.5
Wyoming +8.5
LOSS
Wyoming's offensive firepower and rebounding edge make 8.5 too many points against a Boise squad averaging just 65 PPG and coming off a 19-point road blowout.