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All Picks
Saturday, Feb 21
5W-12L
Full card →
SCU
Santa Clara
@
SF
San Francisco
San Francisco +7.5
LOSS
San Francisco's home offensive efficiency and Santa Clara's rust off a week layoff make 7.5 points too many in a rivalry game with sharp line disagreement across books.
SMC
Saint Mary's
@
WSU
Washington State
Saint Mary's -8.5
WIN
Saint Mary's has a massive interior advantage and elite defense to suffocate Washington State's limited offense on the road
WGA
West Georgia
@
QUC
Queens University
-11.5
West Georgia +11.5
WIN
West Georgia's superior shooting (43.5 FG% vs 35.7%) and half-court discipline should keep this within single digits against a Queens team whose recent scoring surge is unsustainable
DAV
Davidson
-1
@
FOR
Fordham
Fordham -1.5
WIN
Fordham's defensive pressure and pace control neutralizes Davidson's explosive offense in a home grinder
CCSU
Central Connecticut
-3.5
@
CHST
Chicago State
Central Connecticut -3.5
LOSS
Central Connecticut's superior shooting, rebounding, and balance make them a value road favorite against a Chicago State team they already beat by 11 two weeks ago
UNF
North Florida
@
STET
Stetson
-3.5
North Florida +3.5
LOSS
North Florida's superior shooting efficiency and reverse line movement make them a sharp play getting 3.5 in a conference slugfest
TEX
Texas
@
UGA
Georgia
-2.5
Texas +2.5
LOSS
Texas is the better team with a massive rebounding edge, riding five straight wins into a Georgia squad that's 1-4 in their last five with leaky defense and no interior presence to match Durant and Ja
JXST
Jacksonville State
@
SHSU
Sam Houston
-7.5
Sam Houston -7.5
LOSS
Sam Houston's 10-1 home dominance and defensive length exploits Jacksonville State's 4-6 road record and recent offensive struggles (67.3 PPG last three games).
OHIO
Ohio
-5.5
@
NIU
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois +5.5
LOSS
Ohio's road woes (3-7 away, blown out recently at Miami) meet a home NIU squad that's 6-5 in DeKalb with the best scorer on the floor in Xavier Silas — line should be closer to 3.5
ARST
Arkansas State
-14.5
@
ULM
UL Monroe
Over 164.5
WIN
A-State torched Monroe 10 days ago, but road revenge spots with inflated lines miss — take the Over 164.5 as both teams push pace and the 103-70 blowout skewed expectations.
JMU
James Madison
-1.5
@
GAST
Georgia State
Georgia State +1.5
LOSS
Georgia State +1.5 cashes as JMU's brutal road form (4-10) meets a 7-5 home team in a revenge spot with balanced scoring depth
MSST
Mississippi State
@
SC
South Carolina
-1.5
Mississippi State +1.5
LOSS
Mississippi State's offensive efficiency and rebounding edge overwhelm a mentally checked-out South Carolina squad that's lost six straight and can't score.
PORT
Portland
@
SEA
Seattle U
Portland +8.5
LOSS
Portland's road woes are overblown — they just beat Seattle U two weeks ago and can hang in another grind-it-out slugfest.
MIZ
Missouri
@
ARK
Arkansas
-9.5
Arkansas -9.5
LOSS
Arkansas bounces back at home after a fluky road loss, exploiting Missouri's 4-6 road record and shaky perimeter defense with pace and ball pressure.
LMU
Loyola Marymount
-2.5
@
USD
San Diego
San Diego +2.5
LOSS
San Diego's home edge and LMU's road struggles make this line 1-2 points off — backing the home dog in a pace-up rematch.
UK
Kentucky
@
AUB
Auburn
-2.5
Auburn -2.5
LOSS
Auburn -2.5 at home against a Kentucky team that's 3-4 on the road, getting a full point of value versus market consensus at -3.5.
TXST
Texas State
-3.5
@
UL
Louisiana
Louisiana +3.5
WIN
Texas State's 3-9 road record and structural offensive limitations make them vulnerable to a Louisiana squad that plays faster and thrives at home.
Friday, Feb 20
2W-11L
Full card →
AKR
Akron
@
BALL
Ball State
Akron -14.5
LOSS
Akron's superior efficiency and Ball State's six-game skid with terminal defensive breakdowns makes this a 4-unit blowout play
SIE
Siena
@
MRMK
Merrimack
-3.5
Siena +3.5
LOSS
Siena's elite offense and road success will exploit Merrimack's inflated line after beating weak competition — take the points with the Saints.
BGSU
Bowling Green
@
M-OH
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green +7.5
LOSS
Miami's grind-it-out style and BGSU's superior shooting efficiency keep this within a possession in a low-scoring MAC slug-fest.
VCU
VCU
@
SLU
Saint Louis
-7.5
VCU +7.5
LOSS
VCU's offensive firepower and elite road form make them severely undervalued against a Saint Louis team that can't score enough to cover this bloated number.
MRST
Marist
-5
@
MAN
Manhattan
Manhattan +5
LOSS
Manhattan's 8-5 home form and three-game win streak make them severely undervalued against a struggling Marist road team.
IU
Indiana
@
PUR
Purdue
-11.5
Indiana +10.5
LOSS
Indiana gets 5 days rest vs Purdue's 3, and their frontcourt already beat this team once — laying double digits on a revenge spot is asking for trouble.
MILW
Milwaukee
@
DETM
Detroit Mercy
-1.5
Milwaukee +2.5
LOSS
Milwaukee's pace and offensive firepower keep this within a possession despite their ugly road record — the first matchup was an outlier and the line overreacts to recency bias.
CAN
Canisius
-1
@
RID
Rider
Canisius +1.5
WIN
Canisius has the better offense and shooting while Rider is in a five-game skid scoring 47-55 points per game — books are begging you to lay chalk with a broken team
PRIN
Princeton
@
BRWN
Brown
-1.5
Brown -1.5
LOSS
Brown's five-headed offensive monster exploits Princeton's catastrophic 1-11 road record and porous defense in a game mispriced as a toss-up
SHU
Sacred Heart
@
FAIR
Fairfield
-4.5
Sacred Heart +5.5
LOSS
Sacred Heart's elite five-man offense exploits Fairfield's defensive vulnerabilities in a rematch where the line is a full point too high on DraftKings
GB
Green Bay
@
OAK
Oakland
-6.5
Green Bay +6.5
WIN
Oakland's offense is trending down hard while Green Bay's pace-slowing, high-efficiency attack is built to keep this close on the road — 6.5 is too many points.
SPU
Saint Peter's
-1
@
IONA
Iona
Saint Peter's +1
LOSS
Saint Peter's is the hotter team with momentum, superior rebounding, and a defensive matchup advantage — take the point in a game they can win outright.
NIA
Niagara
@
MSM
Mount St. Mary's
-6.5
Niagara +7
LOSS
Niagara's multi-dimensional offense and scoring depth are undervalued against a Mount St. Mary's team that hasn't topped 72 points in 5 of their last 6 games — take the dog getting a full touchdown wi