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All Picks
Thursday, Feb 19
15W-15L
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MTST
Montana State
@
WEB
Weber State
-1.5
Montana State +1.5
LOSS
Montana State has beaten Weber State twice in a month and the line variance screams value — play the Bobcats catching points in a game they should win outright.
UNCA
UNC Asheville
@
HPU
High Point
-14.5
UNC Asheville +13.5
LOSS
UNCA's five-deep scoring attack and competitive road history make 13.5 points too many in a fast-paced conference shootout
APSU
Austin Peay
-11.5
@
UNF
North Florida
North Florida +10.5
WIN
Austin Peay is 7-7 on the road with defensive leaks, and North Florida's three scorers can keep this inside 10 points at home with a week of rest
UTC
Chattanooga
@
MER
Mercer
-10.5
Mercer -10.5
LOSS
Mercer is 12-0 at home and gets revenge on a Chattanooga team that's 4-10 on the road and can't score away from home.
TULN
Tulane
@
UNT
North Texas
-6.5
Under 136.5
LOSS
North Texas-Tulane screams under — both teams just played defensive grinds, 4 days rest sharpens execution, and Tulane's efficiency forces a slow pace North Texas can't keep up with.
MORE
Morehead State
-2.5
@
EIU
Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois +1.5
LOSS
Eastern Illinois +1.5 — the books are slow to adjust on a home team facing a 5-10 road squad that doesn't travel well
IUIN
IU Indianapolis
@
WRST
Wright State
-12.5
Over 162.5
LOSS
Pace-up matchup with two top-50 tempo teams and exploitable defenses — the 162.5 total is 5+ points too low given recent form and transition opportunities.
MONM
Monmouth
@
UNCW
UNC Wilmington
-6.5
Under 141.5
LOSS
Pace mismatch and elite home defense make this total 10 points too high — UNCW grinds, Monmouth can't run, projecting 135-137.
SAM
Samford
-10.5
@
CIT
The Citadel
Samford -10.5
LOSS
Samford's balanced offense and 5-1 road form since late January crushes a Citadel team averaging 51.5 PPG in their last two and bleeding efficiency gaps across the board.
SDAK
South Dakota
@
DEN
Denver
-6.5
Denver -6.5
WIN
Denver's rest advantage and home dominance crushes a rusty, road-awful South Dakota team coming off an 8-day layoff.
GWEB
Gardner-Webb
@
RAD
Radford
-19.5
Radford -19.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb is 0-14 on the road and just surrendered 112 at home; Radford's rested, rolling, and cooking at home where they've won 10 of 16.
ALST
Alabama State
@
BCU
Bethune-Cookman
-5.5
Bethune-Cookman -5.5
WIN
Bethune-Cookman dominates at home (8-3) and already smoked Alabama State by 15 three weeks ago; road-disaster Hornets (3-14 away) can't flip the script on short rest in a hostile gym.
UNH
New Hampshire
@
UML
UMass Lowell
-4.5
UMass Lowell -4.5
WIN
UMass Lowell -4.5 — rested home favorite against a New Hampshire team that's 1-12 on the road and 0-6 in true road games since December, averaging just 62 PPG in those losses.
BING
Binghamton
@
BRY
Bryant
-5.5
Bryant -5.5
LOSS
Bryant's 7-4 at home vs Binghamton's 0-13 on the road, and the revenge angle from their 3-point loss three weeks ago makes this a clear lay-the-points spot.
UVM
Vermont
-1.5
@
UMBC
UMBC
Vermont -1.5
LOSS
Vermont's interior dominance and proven road form make them the sharp side in a rematch where UMBC's home record is inflated by weak competition.
UTM
UT Martin
-2.5
@
LR
Little Rock
Little Rock +2.5
WIN
Little Rock catches a tired road favorite on short rest in a revenge spot — taking the points at home in a defensive grinder.
KC
Kansas City
@
UND
North Dakota
-10.5
North Dakota -10.5
WIN
Kansas City is 1-13 on the road and averaging 62 PPG away from home — North Dakota's elite home defense will suffocate them into the low 60s and cover by double-digits
CBU
California Baptist
@
UVU
Utah Valley
-7.5
Utah Valley -7.5
WIN
Utah Valley's 14-0 home record, seven days rest, and revenge spot against a tired California Baptist squad makes this a rare spot where the line is actually too low.
UPST
South Carolina Upstate
@
WIN
Winthrop
-13.5
South Carolina Upstate +13.5
WIN
Winthrop's week-long layoff and Upstate's ability to muck up possessions make this double-digit spread too high in a low-possession rock fight.
DREX
Drexel
-1.5
@
NE
Northeastern
Drexel -1.5
WIN
Drexel's paint dominance and recent revenge win over a reeling Northeastern squad make this short road number a gift.
MRSH
Marshall
@
APP
App State
-2.5
Marshall +2.5
WIN
Marshall's balanced attack catches a home favorite in offensive free fall — grabbing the points with the hotter team.
GASO
Georgia Southern
@
GAST
Georgia State
-1.5
Georgia Southern +1.5
LOSS
Georgia Southern's balanced offense and momentum exploits a Georgia State team on a six-game skid with broken shooting and zero defensive answers.
ARST
Arkansas State
-8.5
@
UL
Louisiana
Over 144.5
LOSS
Arkansas State's scorching shooters face Louisiana's chaos defense — line's suppressed and the Red Wolves have eclipsed 90+ three times in five games.
COFC
Charleston
-4.5
@
NCAT
North Carolina A&T
Charleston -5.5
WIN
Charleston's offensive firepower and recent 16-point beatdown of this opponent make 5.5 points too light on the road
LIU
Long Island University
@
SFPA
Saint Francis
Long Island University -3.5
LOSS
LIU's rebounding edge and defensive discipline exploit a Saint Francis team in complete freefall that's lost six straight and can't get stops.
CP
Cal Poly
@
HAW
Hawai'i
-11.5
Hawai'i -12.5
LOSS
Hawai'i bounces back at home where they're 14-1, while Cal Poly's road struggles and offensive limitations make this line 1-1.5 points too generous for the dog.
FDU
Fairleigh Dickinson
-2.5
@
CHST
Chicago State
Chicago State +1.5
WIN
Chicago State's home defense and FDU's horrific road offense make this a one-possession grinder where the dog covers
SIUE
SIU Edwardsville
-1.5
@
TNTC
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech +2.5
WIN
Tennessee Tech's five-headed offensive attack and superior pace exploits SIUE's 15th-percentile offense on the road — take the home dog with recent momentum
UALB
UAlbany
@
NJIT
NJIT
-3.5
UAlbany +4.5
WIN
UAlbany's superior shooting efficiency and offensive firepower make them a live dog against a NJIT team running on unsustainable luck
AAMU
Alabama A&M
@
FAMU
Florida A&M
-1.5
Alabama A&M +1.5
WIN
Alabama A&M beat Florida A&M by 7 three weeks ago and is the more disciplined team — getting points here is a gift.