Archive
All Picks
Saturday, Feb 28
3W-1L
Full card →
UNH
New Hampshire
@
UALB
UAlbany
-2.5
UAlbany -2.5
WIN
UAlbany's balanced offense and free-throw advantage exploits New Hampshire's 1-14 road record and turnover issues in a low-scoring conference grind.
GWEB
Gardner-Webb
@
UPST
South Carolina Upstate
-12.5
Over 152.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb's 0-15 road futility meets Upstate's high-scoring home environment — tempo and defensive lapses push this well over the number.
COLO
Colorado
@
HOU
Houston
-20.5
Houston -20.5
WIN
Houston's 16-2 home record and elite defense dominates Colorado's abysmal 1-7 road performance in a get-right spot
NEB
Nebraska
-4.5
@
USC
USC
Nebraska -4.5
WIN
Nebraska's elite defense and glass dominance will grind USC's freefall into a double-digit road cover.
Friday, Feb 27
8W-11L
Full card →
HARV
Harvard
-4.5
@
PRIN
Princeton
Harvard -4.5
LOSS
Harvard's road efficiency and rebounding dominance exploits Princeton's collapsing defense and one-dimensional offense.
MAN
Manhattan
@
SPU
Saint Peter's
-8
Saint Peter's -8
WIN
Saint Peter's is 12-1 at home, Manhattan is 4-11 on the road, and the Peacocks already beat them by 5 at Manhattan's place three weeks ago — now they get them in the fortress.
ULM
UL Monroe
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TROY
Troy
-19.5
Troy -18.5
LOSS
Troy's home offense and elite three-point shooting exploits Monroe's porous road defense in a revenge spot with fresher legs.
USM
Southern Miss
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USA
South Alabama
-5.5
South Alabama -5.5
LOSS
South Alabama dominates a Southern Miss team that's 3-12 on the road and can't shoot, while the Jags have already beaten them head-to-head 13 days ago.
UL
Louisiana
@
ARST
Arkansas State
-14.5
Arkansas State -13.5
WIN
Arkansas State already torched Louisiana by 17 eight days ago and now gets them at home where they're 10-4 and scoring 77 PPG — the rematch is a layup.
DAY
Dayton
@
GW
George Washington
-3.5
George Washington -3.5
LOSS
George Washington's home dominance and balanced scoring exploits Dayton's road struggles in a buy-low spot on the home favorite
SIE
Siena
-1
@
FAIR
Fairfield
Siena -1
LOSS
Siena's superior offensive efficiency, 10-6 road record, and ball movement edge make them the side in a coin-flip line that should be -2.5 or -3.
BRWN
Brown
@
COLU
Columbia
-5
Brown +5.5
LOSS
Brown's offensive firepower and momentum against a scuffling Columbia offense makes the underdog a sharp play.
YALE
Yale
-4.5
@
COR
Cornell
Cornell +3.5
WIN
Cornell's five-headed scoring attack bounces back at home after a humiliating loss — Yale wins, but doesn't cover the short number.
GASO
Georgia Southern
@
MRSH
Marshall
-7.5
Georgia Southern +7.5
WIN
Georgia Southern's elite offense already torched Marshall for 101 points two weeks ago, and the Herd's leaky home defense won't suddenly fix itself in a revenge spot.
MSM
Mount St. Mary's
@
SHU
Sacred Heart
-2.5
Mount St. Mary's +2.5
LOSS
Mount St. Mary's riding a 4-game streak with elite defense against a Sacred Heart team trending down after an 0-2 road trip — form mismatch at 2.5.
DART
Dartmouth
@
PENN
Pennsylvania
-7.5
Pennsylvania -7.5
WIN
Penn's elite shooting and home dominance crush Dartmouth's anemic offense in a double-digit Ivy League blowout
APP
App State
@
TXST
Texas State
-1.5
App State +1.5
LOSS
App State's offensive firepower and the sharp line disagreement across books make +1.5 a value play against Texas State's home-court dominance.
MICH
Michigan
-1.5
@
ILL
Illinois
Illinois +2.5
LOSS
Illinois gets the extra rest, home court, and pace advantage against a grind-it-out Michigan team — books disagree by a full point, take the higher number
CCU
Coastal Carolina
@
JMU
James Madison
-5.5
James Madison -5.5
LOSS
James Madison's interior dominance and home-court defense edge exploits Coastal Carolina's perimeter reliance and turnover issues in a conference rematch
MRMK
Merrimack
-9.5
@
CAN
Canisius
Canisius +9.5
WIN
Merrimack can't cover double digits on the road against a rested home dog — their offense is too slow and pedestrian away from home.
QUIN
Quinnipiac
-8
@
NIA
Niagara
Niagara +8
WIN
Niagara's five-man scoring attack and Quinnipiac's offensive slump make 8 points too many in a conference rematch that went to the wire three weeks ago
ODU
Old Dominion
-1.5
@
GAST
Georgia State
Georgia State +1.5
LOSS
Georgia State's home offense and ODU's 3-14 road record make this underdog the sharp side before the line flips.
RID
Rider
@
IONA
Iona
-12.5
Iona -12.5
WIN
Rider is 0-14 on the road and averaging 9 fewer PPG away from home — Iona's balanced attack covers comfortably at home.
Thursday, Feb 26
2W-5L
Full card →
MOST
Missouri State
@
LT
Louisiana Tech
-3.5
Louisiana Tech -2.5
LOSS
Louisiana Tech is 13-2 at home and owns the head-to-head blueprint against a Missouri State team that's lost 5 straight and can't defend on the road.
FIU
Florida International
@
SHSU
Sam Houston
Sam Houston -6.5
WIN
Sam Houston is 11-1 at home and FIU is 2-9 on the road scoring just 56.8 PPG in true away games — the home/road split is massive and the line doesn't respect it enough
ACU
Abilene Christian
@
UTU
Utah Tech
-3.5
Utah Tech -3.5
WIN
Utah Tech's interior dominance and home court edge make them a 6-point favorite masquerading as a 3.5-point favorite against a road-allergic ACU squad
TNTC
Tennessee Tech
@
UTM
UT Martin
-7.5
Tennessee Tech +8.5
LOSS
Tennessee Tech catching 8.5 against a UT Martin team that's lost four straight and scoring under 60 at home twice in the last week.
WIN
Winthrop
-6.5
@
CHSO
Charleston Southern
Winthrop -6.5
LOSS
Winthrop's rebounding edge and interior dominance with Duncomb should overwhelm a CSU team that's 4-11 on the road and can't shoot from deep
NDSU
North Dakota State
@
STMN
St. Thomas-Minnesota
-3.5
North Dakota State +4.5
LOSS
North Dakota State's rebounding edge (37.4 vs 29.6) and elite three-point shooting (40.2%) neutralizes St. Thomas's home split advantage — Bison cover and potentially win outright
LIB
Liberty
-1.5
@
KENN
Kennesaw State
Liberty -1.5
LOSS
Liberty's shooting variance reverses in bounce-back spot against overmatched home dog with no rim pressure or three-point threat