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Friday, Feb 27 Full slate (95) →

ULM UL Monroe @ TROY Troy -19.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Troy's home offense and elite three-point shooting exploits Monroe's porous road defense in a revenge spot with fresher legs.

USM Southern Miss @ USA South Alabama -5.5

South Alabama -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

South Alabama dominates a Southern Miss team that's 3-12 on the road and can't shoot, while the Jags have already beaten them head-to-head 13 days ago.

UL Louisiana @ ARST Arkansas State -14.5

Arkansas State -13.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Arkansas State already torched Louisiana by 17 eight days ago and now gets them at home where they're 10-4 and scoring 77 PPG — the rematch is a layup.

Thursday, Feb 26 Full slate (260) →

NMSU New Mexico State @ WKU Western Kentucky -6.5

Western Kentucky -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

WKU's red-hot offense (89.7 PPG over last 6) and 5-day rest edge a road-challenged NMSU squad that scores 18.6 fewer points away from home

TNTC Tennessee Tech @ UTM UT Martin -7.5

Tennessee Tech +8.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Tennessee Tech catching 8.5 against a UT Martin team that's lost four straight and scoring under 60 at home twice in the last week.

FIU Florida International @ SHSU Sam Houston

Sam Houston -6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Sam Houston is 11-1 at home and FIU is 2-9 on the road scoring just 56.8 PPG in true away games — the home/road split is massive and the line doesn't respect it enough

Wednesday, Feb 25 Full slate (271) →

SCU Santa Clara @ SMC Saint Mary's -5.5

Saint Mary's -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Saint Mary's 15-0 home fortress crushes a Santa Clara defense that's given up 90+ twice in three road games — offensive rebounding mismatch and depth win this by double digits

USU Utah State @ SDSU San Diego State -1.5

Utah State +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Utah State is the better team with superior shooting efficiency, already beat SDSU head-to-head three weeks ago, and the books are gifting us points on recency bias.

QUC Queens University -1.5 @ EKU Eastern Kentucky

Eastern Kentucky +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Eastern Kentucky is 8-5 at home facing a Queens team that shoots 35.7% overall and 17.4% from three while going 5-10 on the road — the wrong team is favored by 1.5.

Tuesday, Feb 24 Full slate (185) →

SJSU San Jose State -7.5 @ AF Air Force

San Jose State -6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Air Force's 16-game losing streak and defensive collapse makes them unbackable at home against a San Jose State team that dominates the glass and has two legitimate scoring threats

TENN Tennessee -3.5 @ MIZ Missouri

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Tennessee's elite defense and road form crushes Missouri's inflated home record — give me the Vols by 7.

UK Kentucky -7.5 @ SC South Carolina

South Carolina +7.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Kentucky can't cover on the road and the books are begging you to lay the chalk — grab the home dog with the pace advantage.

Monday, Feb 23 Full slate (45) →

RGV UT Rio Grande Valley @ MCN McNeese -9.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

McNeese's 15-0 home dominance and defensive grind crushes UTRGV's pace-dependent hot streak in a market showing line disagreement

UNO New Orleans @ SFA Stephen F. Austin -12.5

Stephen F. Austin -13.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

SFA is 15-0 at home with elite defensive pressure and balanced scoring — New Orleans turns it over 16.6 times per game and lacks the personnel to slow down a five-headed attack in a hostile gym.

AMCC Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -1.5 @ SELA SE Louisiana

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Both offenses are broken, TAMUCC can't score on the road, and SE Louisiana turns road teams into turnovers — this stays under 130.