Archive
All Picks
Friday, Feb 27
2W-2L
Full card →
MRMK
Merrimack
-9.5
@
CAN
Canisius
Canisius +9.5
WIN
Merrimack can't cover double digits on the road against a rested home dog — their offense is too slow and pedestrian away from home.
ODU
Old Dominion
-1.5
@
GAST
Georgia State
Georgia State +1.5
LOSS
Georgia State's home offense and ODU's 3-14 road record make this underdog the sharp side before the line flips.
RID
Rider
@
IONA
Iona
-12.5
Iona -12.5
WIN
Rider is 0-14 on the road and averaging 9 fewer PPG away from home — Iona's balanced attack covers comfortably at home.
CCU
Coastal Carolina
@
JMU
James Madison
-5.5
James Madison -5.5
LOSS
James Madison's interior dominance and home-court defense edge exploits Coastal Carolina's perimeter reliance and turnover issues in a conference rematch
Thursday, Feb 26
9W-17L
Full card →
TEM
Temple
@
FAU
Florida Atlantic
-4.5
Florida Atlantic -4.5
LOSS
FAU is rested, balanced, and 9-5 at home — Temple's four-game skid and road struggles make this a mismatch the line undervalues by 2-3 points.
SDST
South Dakota State
-12.5
@
KC
Kansas City
South Dakota State -11.5
WIN
Kansas City has been destroyed by every competent team they've faced, and South Dakota State's balanced attack will exploit a defense that's allowed 30+ point losses three times in six games
ALCN
Alcorn State
@
TXSO
Texas Southern
-7.5
Texas Southern -7.5
LOSS
Texas Southern's home dominance meets Alcorn's catastrophic road splits — the 7-4 home team buries the 2-16 road disaster by double digits.
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
-5.5
@
LAC
LA Clippers
LA Clippers -5.5
LOSS
Clippers are rested, motivated by recent blowout win over Minnesota, and catching the Wolves on short rest after a West Coast grind — this spread is a gift.
NMSU
New Mexico State
@
WKU
Western Kentucky
-6.5
Western Kentucky -5.5
WIN
WKU's red-hot offense (89.7 PPG over last 6) and 5-day rest edge a road-challenged NMSU squad that scores 18.6 fewer points away from home
HAW
Hawai'i
-2.5
@
UCD
UC Davis
UC Davis +1.5
LOSS
UC Davis protects home court as Hawai'i's road woes continue — the line is 1-2 points too low on the Aggies.
CHST
Chicago State
@
LIU
Long Island University
-11.5
Under 140.5
WIN
Chicago State's road offense is historically bad (2-16 away), LIU's home defense locks in, and both teams grind in conference play—this stays under 140.5 easily.
LIB
Liberty
-1.5
@
KENN
Kennesaw State
Liberty -1.5
LOSS
Liberty's shooting variance reverses in bounce-back spot against overmatched home dog with no rim pressure or three-point threat
MOST
Missouri State
@
LT
Louisiana Tech
-3.5
Louisiana Tech -2.5
LOSS
Louisiana Tech is 13-2 at home and owns the head-to-head blueprint against a Missouri State team that's lost 5 straight and can't defend on the road.
UNCA
UNC Asheville
-13.5
@
GWEB
Gardner-Webb
UNC Asheville -13.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb can't defend the perimeter and has been torched for 86 PPG over six straight losses — UNC Asheville's five three-point threats and rest advantage make this a blowout waiting to happen.
VMI
VMI
@
SAM
Samford
-18.5
Samford -17.5
WIN
Samford's balanced offense and home dominance crushes VMI's 1-13 road disaster — talent gap plus venue edge equals easy cover
TAR
Tarleton State
@
UVU
Utah Valley
-17.5
Utah Valley -16.5
LOSS
Utah Valley's undefeated home defense against a road team they just beat by 28 — 16.5 doesn't cover the gap.
NCAT
North Carolina A&T
@
UNCW
UNC Wilmington
-13.5
UNC Wilmington -13.5
WIN
UNC Wilmington's elite home defense and balanced scoring overwhelms a turnover-prone road team that's 4-10 away from home.
FIU
Florida International
@
SHSU
Sam Houston
Sam Houston -6.5
WIN
Sam Houston is 11-1 at home and FIU is 2-9 on the road scoring just 56.8 PPG in true away games — the home/road split is massive and the line doesn't respect it enough
WIN
Winthrop
-6.5
@
CHSO
Charleston Southern
Winthrop -6.5
LOSS
Winthrop's rebounding edge and interior dominance with Duncomb should overwhelm a CSU team that's 4-11 on the road and can't shoot from deep
TNTC
Tennessee Tech
@
UTM
UT Martin
-7.5
Tennessee Tech +8.5
LOSS
Tennessee Tech catching 8.5 against a UT Martin team that's lost four straight and scoring under 60 at home twice in the last week.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
-4.5
@
CHI
Chicago Bulls
Portland Trail Blazers -4.5
WIN
Portland catching a Bulls team in total freefall at home — six straight losses, no defense, no fight, and sharp money already moved this line a full point.
DEL
Delaware
@
JXST
Jacksonville State
-8.5
Delaware +7.5
LOSS
Jacksonville State's four-game losing streak and defensive breakdowns make this line 2-3 points too high against a Delaware team playing their best offensive basketball of February.
ACU
Abilene Christian
@
UTU
Utah Tech
-3.5
Utah Tech -3.5
WIN
Utah Tech's interior dominance and home court edge make them a 6-point favorite masquerading as a 3.5-point favorite against a road-allergic ACU squad
NDSU
North Dakota State
@
STMN
St. Thomas-Minnesota
-3.5
North Dakota State +4.5
LOSS
North Dakota State's rebounding edge (37.4 vs 29.6) and elite three-point shooting (40.2%) neutralizes St. Thomas's home split advantage — Bison cover and potentially win outright
UNCG
UNC Greensboro
@
UTC
Chattanooga
-3.5
Chattanooga -3.5
LOSS
Chattanooga's red-hot offense and UNCG's abysmal 3-10 road record make this a straightforward home cover in a conference game where form trumps standing.
STET
Stetson
@
JAX
Jacksonville
-6.5
Jacksonville -6.5
LOSS
Jacksonville's 7-5 home defense crushes Stetson's 2-13 road offense in a revenge spot after losing the first matchup by 5 on the road
WIU
Western Illinois
@
SIUE
SIU Edwardsville
-14.5
SIU Edwardsville -14.5
WIN
SIUE returns home after road trip disaster to face 1-14 road team — home/away split and defensive matchup advantage makes this a clear play
PRST
Portland State
@
MTST
Montana State
-2.5
Portland State +2.5
LOSS
Portland State already beat Montana State by 9 three weeks ago and is the more physical, efficient team — taking the points with the side that proved it can win this matchup.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
-4.5
@
UTA
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz +4.5
LOSS
Utah gets 3 days rest at home against a road-weary Pelicans team on a back-to-back, playing their first true away game in weeks.
DEN
Denver
-4.5
@
ORU
Oral Roberts
Denver -4.5
LOSS
Denver's ability to win on the road meets an Oral Roberts squad that literally cannot win away from home — lay the number with the better team and superior recent form.