Archive
All Picks
Saturday, Feb 28
6W-4L
Full card →
FIU
Florida International
@
LT
Louisiana Tech
-2.5
Florida International +2.5
WIN
LA Tech dominates at home but struggles to blow teams out — FIU already proved they can score on this defense two weeks ago, and 2.5 points in a revenge game rematch is gold for the battle-tested dog.
VILL
Villanova
@
SJU
St. John's
-7.5
Villanova +7.5
LOSS
Villanova's balanced offense and road pedigree exploits an inflated line on a St. John's team reeling from a 32-point blowout
BOIS
Boise State
-6.5
@
FRES
Fresno State
Fresno State +6.5
LOSS
Fresno State's home tempo and scoring depth exploit Boise State's road struggles and weak perimeter shooting in a tight, single-possession game
SFPA
Saint Francis
@
CCSU
Central Connecticut
-8.5
Saint Francis +8.5
WIN
Saint Francis covers as desperate road dog against a CCSU team that hasn't separated from inferior competition at home all month
LEM
Le Moyne
-1.5
@
NHVN
New Haven
Le Moyne -1.5
LOSS
Le Moyne's balanced offense and ball movement exploits New Haven's offensive limitations despite road struggles
VT
Virginia Tech
@
UNC
North Carolina
-6.5
Virginia Tech +6.5
LOSS
Virginia Tech's seven days of prep, offensive rebounding edge (14.9 OREB/game), and pace control keeps this tight against an overvalued UNC home line that should be 4.5-5.
L-MD
Loyola Maryland
@
HC
Holy Cross
-1.5
Loyola Maryland +1.5
WIN
Loyola owns the recent matchup, has superior scoring weapons, and you're getting a free point and a half on what should be a coin flip.
PROV
Providence
@
CREI
Creighton
-3.5
Providence +2.5
WIN
Providence's elite five-man scoring depth and momentum edge exploits Creighton's four-game home skid at an undervalued number.
MISS
Ole Miss
@
AUB
Auburn
-10.5
Ole Miss +10.5
WIN
Auburn has lost 5 of 6 and is giving up 88 PPG at home while Ole Miss's balanced offense stays competitive in every SEC road game — 10.5 is inflated off stale home splits.
UCLA
UCLA
-1.5
@
MINN
Minnesota
Minnesota +1.5
WIN
UCLA's catastrophic road splits (3-7 away, 16-2 home) make them a fade against a Minnesota squad that's 11-6 at home and thrives in low-possession grind games
Friday, Feb 27
9W-11L
Full card →
DEN
Denver Nuggets
@
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
-8.5
Denver Nuggets +8.5
WIN
Denver's road excellence and rest edge exploits a fatigued OKC team overvalued after one bad road loss — take the points with the better-rested squad.
NYK
New York Knicks
-8.5
@
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks +8.5
LOSS
Milwaukee's riding a 4-game home win streak and just beat Cleveland, who dominated the Knicks by 15 three days ago — 8.5 points is too many for a surging underdog with momentum and crowd energy
ULM
UL Monroe
@
TROY
Troy
-19.5
Troy -18.5
LOSS
Troy's home offense and elite three-point shooting exploits Monroe's porous road defense in a revenge spot with fresher legs.
UL
Louisiana
@
ARST
Arkansas State
-14.5
Arkansas State -13.5
WIN
Arkansas State already torched Louisiana by 17 eight days ago and now gets them at home where they're 10-4 and scoring 77 PPG — the rematch is a layup.
USM
Southern Miss
@
USA
South Alabama
-5.5
South Alabama -5.5
LOSS
South Alabama dominates a Southern Miss team that's 3-12 on the road and can't shoot, while the Jags have already beaten them head-to-head 13 days ago.
DAY
Dayton
@
GW
George Washington
-3.5
George Washington -3.5
LOSS
George Washington's home dominance and balanced scoring exploits Dayton's road struggles in a buy-low spot on the home favorite
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
@
BOS
Boston Celtics
-18.5
Boston Celtics -17.5
WIN
Celtics coming home rested after a bad loss to face a cooked Nets team on 6-game skid — lay the lumber on a get-right spot against a terrible road team.
SIE
Siena
-1
@
FAIR
Fairfield
Siena -1
LOSS
Siena's superior offensive efficiency, 10-6 road record, and ball movement edge make them the side in a coin-flip line that should be -2.5 or -3.
HARV
Harvard
-4.5
@
PRIN
Princeton
Harvard -4.5
LOSS
Harvard's road efficiency and rebounding dominance exploits Princeton's collapsing defense and one-dimensional offense.
MAN
Manhattan
@
SPU
Saint Peter's
-8
Saint Peter's -8
WIN
Saint Peter's is 12-1 at home, Manhattan is 4-11 on the road, and the Peacocks already beat them by 5 at Manhattan's place three weeks ago — now they get them in the fortress.
MSM
Mount St. Mary's
@
SHU
Sacred Heart
-2.5
Mount St. Mary's +2.5
LOSS
Mount St. Mary's riding a 4-game streak with elite defense against a Sacred Heart team trending down after an 0-2 road trip — form mismatch at 2.5.
DART
Dartmouth
@
PENN
Pennsylvania
-7.5
Pennsylvania -7.5
WIN
Penn's elite shooting and home dominance crush Dartmouth's anemic offense in a double-digit Ivy League blowout
ODU
Old Dominion
-1.5
@
GAST
Georgia State
Georgia State +1.5
LOSS
Georgia State's home offense and ODU's 3-14 road record make this underdog the sharp side before the line flips.
CCU
Coastal Carolina
@
JMU
James Madison
-5.5
James Madison -5.5
LOSS
James Madison's interior dominance and home-court defense edge exploits Coastal Carolina's perimeter reliance and turnover issues in a conference rematch
MICH
Michigan
-1.5
@
ILL
Illinois
Illinois +2.5
LOSS
Illinois gets the extra rest, home court, and pace advantage against a grind-it-out Michigan team — books disagree by a full point, take the higher number
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
@
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
-4.5
Dallas Mavericks -4.5
LOSS
Dallas rebounds at home against a Grizzlies squad in freefall, exploiting Memphis' brutal road form and three-game slide
RID
Rider
@
IONA
Iona
-12.5
Iona -12.5
WIN
Rider is 0-14 on the road and averaging 9 fewer PPG away from home — Iona's balanced attack covers comfortably at home.
MRMK
Merrimack
-9.5
@
CAN
Canisius
Canisius +9.5
WIN
Merrimack can't cover double digits on the road against a rested home dog — their offense is too slow and pedestrian away from home.
QUIN
Quinnipiac
-8
@
NIA
Niagara
Niagara +8
WIN
Niagara's five-man scoring attack and Quinnipiac's offensive slump make 8 points too many in a conference rematch that went to the wire three weeks ago
GASO
Georgia Southern
@
MRSH
Marshall
-7.5
Georgia Southern +7.5
WIN
Georgia Southern's elite offense already torched Marshall for 101 points two weeks ago, and the Herd's leaky home defense won't suddenly fix itself in a revenge spot.