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All Picks
Saturday, Feb 28
19W-11L
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FIU
Florida International
@
LT
Louisiana Tech
-2.5
Florida International +2.5
WIN
LA Tech dominates at home but struggles to blow teams out — FIU already proved they can score on this defense two weeks ago, and 2.5 points in a revenge game rematch is gold for the battle-tested dog.
TOR
Toronto Raptors
-13.5
@
WAS
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards +13.5
WIN
Fading recency bias on an inflated road favorite number against a bad-but-not-dead home dog with rest and venue shift working in their favor.
MISS
Ole Miss
@
AUB
Auburn
-10.5
Ole Miss +10.5
WIN
Auburn has lost 5 of 6 and is giving up 88 PPG at home while Ole Miss's balanced offense stays competitive in every SEC road game — 10.5 is inflated off stale home splits.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
-6.5
@
UTA
Utah Jazz
New Orleans Pelicans -6.5
WIN
Pelicans riding momentum and back-to-back scheduling edge against a Jazz team that can't defend or respond—sharps already moved this to 6.
LOU
Louisville
-1.5
@
CLEM
Clemson
Louisville -1.5
LOSS
Louisville's 13-point offensive edge and Clemson's four-game slide make this line 2-3 points too kind to the home dog.
CIT
The Citadel
@
WOF
Wofford
-11.5
Wofford -11.5
LOSS
Wofford's five-headed offensive attack overwhelms a Citadel squad that's 2-12 on the road and averaging under 60 PPG away from home — lay the 11.5.
BCU
Bethune-Cookman
@
SOU
Southern
-1.5
Bethune-Cookman +1.5
WIN
Line confusion across books reveals value on the surging road dog with better efficiency and momentum against a home favorite trending down.
QUC
Queens University
@
CARK
Central Arkansas
-1.5
Central Arkansas -2.5
WIN
Central Arkansas is 13-1 at home and has a major offensive firepower advantage over a Queens team that's 6-10 on the road with a 35.7 FG% and no answer for UCA's balanced attack.
NEB
Nebraska
-4.5
@
USC
USC
Nebraska -4.5
WIN
Nebraska's elite defense and glass dominance will grind USC's freefall into a double-digit road cover.
RAD
Radford
-1.5
@
LONG
Longwood
Longwood +1.5
WIN
Longwood gets a full week of rest at home while Radford travels on 2 days rest with a 4-8 road record — take the rested dog with the better home/away splits and fresher legs
DETM
Detroit Mercy
@
OAK
Oakland
-7.5
Detroit Mercy +7.5
WIN
Oakland's shaky home form and porous perimeter defense make them overvalued laying 7.5 to a scrappy Detroit Mercy team that's won 4 of their last 6 true road games.
W&M
William & Mary
-6.5
@
NCAT
North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T +6.5
WIN
William & Mary is 7-9 on the road and facing a scrappy A&T team that's 7-5 at home — the Tribe's road struggles make this number too high
UTAH
Utah
@
ASU
Arizona State
-6.5
Utah +6.5
LOSS
Utah's size advantage inside and recent cover streak make them a strong play getting almost a full possession more than they got in the first meeting three weeks ago.
NMSU
New Mexico State
@
MTSU
Middle Tennessee
-5.5
New Mexico State +6.5
WIN
New Mexico State's elite scoring quartet and superior ball security make them a live dog in a mispriced conference matchup where Middle Tennessee's home splits mask road struggles.
ARMY
Army
@
LAF
Lafayette
-3.5
Lafayette -4.5
WIN
Lafayette's 5-point shooting efficiency edge and offensive rebounding dominance should bury Army's 55.9 PPG offense in a low-possession rematch.
UNH
New Hampshire
@
UALB
UAlbany
-2.5
UAlbany -2.5
WIN
UAlbany's balanced offense and free-throw advantage exploits New Hampshire's 1-14 road record and turnover issues in a low-scoring conference grind.
GTWN
Georgetown
@
XAV
Xavier
-5.5
Xavier -5.5
WIN
Xavier's 12-6 home dominance meets Georgetown's five-game road losing streak and offensive collapse — laying the points with the Musketeers.
CMU
Central Michigan
@
BUF
Buffalo
-5.5
Buffalo -5.5
LOSS
Buffalo at home against a Central Michigan team that's 1-15 on the road — the pace and matchup advantages make this a clear laydown spot for the Bulls.
VAN
Vanderbilt
@
UK
Kentucky
-1.5
Vanderbilt +1.5
LOSS
Vanderbilt's elite shooting (Foster 46.9% from three, Jenkins 40.8%) exploits Kentucky's defensive lapses, and their 7-3 road record makes them live underdogs in a coin-flip game mispriced by market p
RICH
Richmond
-4.5
@
LUC
Loyola Chicago
Richmond -4.5
LOSS
Richmond's offensive surge meets Loyola's scoring drought in a pace-down matchup that favors the road favorite's efficiency and perimeter shooting
MERC
Mercyhurst
-1.5
@
STO
Stonehill
Mercyhurst -1.5
WIN
Mercyhurst's balanced offense and tempo control exploits Stonehill's 62 PPG season average — the 103-point outburst was a one-game mirage against the worst defense in the conference
ME
Maine
-0.5
@
BING
Binghamton
Maine +0.5
LOSS
Maine's superior shooting (48.8% FG, 37.2% 3PT) and back-to-back road wins make them the side against a Binghamton team averaging just 66.6 PPG and struggling to score.
IOWA
Iowa
-9.5
@
PSU
Penn State
Penn State +9.5
WIN
Iowa is 4-6 on the road and Penn State gets them after a short turnaround while sitting on seven days rest — home dog hangs around in a grind-it-out Big Ten battle.
AF
Air Force
@
WYO
Wyoming
-22.5
Wyoming -21.5
LOSS
Air Force is 0-11 on the road and getting outscored by 28+ per game away from home — Wyoming's depth and home dominance (12-4) covers the big number.
BYU
BYU
-2.5
@
WVU
West Virginia
BYU -2.5
LOSS
BYU's firepower and rebounding edge overwhelm a West Virginia offense that's averaging just 64 PPG over its last four games and hasn't cracked 70 in a month.
UNA
North Alabama
@
WGA
West Georgia
-4.5
West Georgia -5.5
WIN
West Georgia dominated this matchup two weeks ago and now gets North Alabama in a building where the Wolves are 9-5 — sharp home/away split and interior dominance make this a clear 3-unit play.
BALL
Ball State
@
NIU
Northern Illinois
-1.5
Ball State +1.5
WIN
Ball State's superior offensive balance and shooting depth should cover against a reeling NIU squad that's lost four of five and been torched at home recently.
SDST
South Dakota State
-2.5
@
SDAK
South Dakota
South Dakota +2.5
WIN
South Dakota's 12-5 home dominance and extra rest edge a fatigued road-weary SDSU squad in a rivalry rematch
HOW
Howard
-9.5
@
MORG
Morgan State
Morgan State +8.5
LOSS
Week-long layoff meets 5-7 road team laying 8.5 against a balanced home squad that just dropped 90 and covers at home.
MASS
Massachusetts
@
BGSU
Bowling Green
-5.5
Massachusetts +5.5
LOSS
UMass keeps every road game tight, Bowling Green can't defend at home, and this line overreacts to season scoring averages while ignoring recent form.