PicksParlor
May 2026
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Saturday, Feb 28 15W-15L Full card →
ELON Elon @ MONM Monmouth -3.5
Elon +3.5
LOSS
Elon's offensive rebounding and pace control neutralize Monmouth's home edge in a game that stays under 70 possessions
PROV Providence @ CREI Creighton -3.5
Providence +2.5
WIN
Providence's elite five-man scoring depth and momentum edge exploits Creighton's four-game home skid at an undervalued number.
MERC Mercyhurst -1.5 @ STO Stonehill
Mercyhurst -1.5
WIN
Mercyhurst's balanced offense and tempo control exploits Stonehill's 62 PPG season average — the 103-point outburst was a one-game mirage against the worst defense in the conference
NCSU NC State -6.5 @ ND Notre Dame
Under 153.5
LOSS
Notre Dame's home splits are misleading — their recent form is brutal, and NC State's interior size will control tempo and grind this into the 140s.
LEM Le Moyne -1.5 @ NHVN New Haven
Le Moyne -1.5
LOSS
Le Moyne's balanced offense and ball movement exploits New Haven's offensive limitations despite road struggles
RICH Richmond -4.5 @ LUC Loyola Chicago
Richmond -4.5
LOSS
Richmond's offensive surge meets Loyola's scoring drought in a pace-down matchup that favors the road favorite's efficiency and perimeter shooting
HOW Howard -9.5 @ MORG Morgan State
Morgan State +8.5
LOSS
Week-long layoff meets 5-7 road team laying 8.5 against a balanced home squad that just dropped 90 and covers at home.
RAD Radford -1.5 @ LONG Longwood
Longwood +1.5
WIN
Longwood gets a full week of rest at home while Radford travels on 2 days rest with a 4-8 road record — take the rested dog with the better home/away splits and fresher legs
NEB Nebraska -4.5 @ USC USC
Nebraska -4.5
WIN
Nebraska's elite defense and glass dominance will grind USC's freefall into a double-digit road cover.
BALL Ball State @ NIU Northern Illinois -1.5
Ball State +1.5
WIN
Ball State's superior offensive balance and shooting depth should cover against a reeling NIU squad that's lost four of five and been torched at home recently.
DETM Detroit Mercy @ OAK Oakland -7.5
Detroit Mercy +7.5
WIN
Oakland's shaky home form and porous perimeter defense make them overvalued laying 7.5 to a scrappy Detroit Mercy team that's won 4 of their last 6 true road games.
BYU BYU -2.5 @ WVU West Virginia
BYU -2.5
LOSS
BYU's firepower and rebounding edge overwhelm a West Virginia offense that's averaging just 64 PPG over its last four games and hasn't cracked 70 in a month.
UTAH Utah @ ASU Arizona State -6.5
Utah +6.5
LOSS
Utah's size advantage inside and recent cover streak make them a strong play getting almost a full possession more than they got in the first meeting three weeks ago.
FIU Florida International @ LT Louisiana Tech -2.5
Florida International +2.5
WIN
LA Tech dominates at home but struggles to blow teams out — FIU already proved they can score on this defense two weeks ago, and 2.5 points in a revenge game rematch is gold for the battle-tested dog.
ME Maine -0.5 @ BING Binghamton
Maine +0.5
LOSS
Maine's superior shooting (48.8% FG, 37.2% 3PT) and back-to-back road wins make them the side against a Binghamton team averaging just 66.6 PPG and struggling to score.
QUC Queens University @ CARK Central Arkansas -1.5
Central Arkansas -2.5
WIN
Central Arkansas is 13-1 at home and has a major offensive firepower advantage over a Queens team that's 6-10 on the road with a 35.7 FG% and no answer for UCA's balanced attack.
VMI VMI @ UTC Chattanooga -11.5
VMI +11.5
WIN
VMI's three 18+ ppg scorers can exploit Chattanooga's shaky home defense and keep this within the number even if they can't win outright.
UNA North Alabama @ WGA West Georgia -4.5
West Georgia -5.5
WIN
West Georgia dominated this matchup two weeks ago and now gets North Alabama in a building where the Wolves are 9-5 — sharp home/away split and interior dominance make this a clear 3-unit play.
CIT The Citadel @ WOF Wofford -11.5
Wofford -11.5
LOSS
Wofford's five-headed offensive attack overwhelms a Citadel squad that's 2-12 on the road and averaging under 60 PPG away from home — lay the 11.5.
BUCK Bucknell @ LEH Lehigh -5.5
Lehigh -5.5
WIN
Lehigh's elite three-point shooting attack feasts on Bucknell's road defensive struggles in a home game where momentum and efficiency align
FGCU Florida Gulf Coast -3.5 @ STET Stetson
Stetson +2.5
WIN
Stetson's 8-6 home form and balanced scoring attack clash with FGCU's disastrous 3-10 road record in a revenge spot the market is underpricing.
AF Air Force @ WYO Wyoming -22.5
Wyoming -21.5
LOSS
Air Force is 0-11 on the road and getting outscored by 28+ per game away from home — Wyoming's depth and home dominance (12-4) covers the big number.
SDST South Dakota State -2.5 @ SDAK South Dakota
South Dakota +2.5
WIN
South Dakota's 12-5 home dominance and extra rest edge a fatigued road-weary SDSU squad in a rivalry rematch
GWEB Gardner-Webb @ UPST South Carolina Upstate -12.5
Over 152.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb's 0-15 road futility meets Upstate's high-scoring home environment — tempo and defensive lapses push this well over the number.
OKST Oklahoma State @ CIN Cincinnati -9.5
Oklahoma State +9.5
LOSS
Oklahoma State's five-headed offensive attack and Cincinnati's shaky recent form make this spread 2-3 points too high — market agrees with the line drop from 10.5 to 9.5.
CMU Central Michigan @ BUF Buffalo -5.5
Buffalo -5.5
LOSS
Buffalo at home against a Central Michigan team that's 1-15 on the road — the pace and matchup advantages make this a clear laydown spot for the Bulls.
UNH New Hampshire @ UALB UAlbany -2.5
UAlbany -2.5
WIN
UAlbany's balanced offense and free-throw advantage exploits New Hampshire's 1-14 road record and turnover issues in a low-scoring conference grind.
MASS Massachusetts @ BGSU Bowling Green -5.5
Massachusetts +5.5
LOSS
UMass keeps every road game tight, Bowling Green can't defend at home, and this line overreacts to season scoring averages while ignoring recent form.
COLG Colgate @ NAVY Navy -6.5
Colgate +6.5
LOSS
Better-shooting Colgate gets 6.5 in a rematch against a Navy team that grinds but can't score efficiently
NOP New Orleans Pelicans -6.5 @ UTA Utah Jazz
New Orleans Pelicans -6.5
WIN
Pelicans riding momentum and back-to-back scheduling edge against a Jazz team that can't defend or respond—sharps already moved this to 6.