All Picks

FDU Fairleigh Dickinson @ LIU Long Island University -9.5

Long Island University -9.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

LIU's home fortress and rebounding dominance exploits FDU's road collapse — spread is 2-3 points light

SAC Sacramento State @ MTST Montana State -8.5

Montana State -9.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Montana State 11-2 at home vs a Sacramento State team that's 0-15 on the road and lost seven straight — take the Bobcats to cover -9.5 in a fortress spot

HALL Seton Hall @ CONN UConn -13.5

UConn -13.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

UConn's elite rim protection and rebounding dominance overwhelms a rusty, low-scoring Seton Hall squad off a seven-day layoff.

CAM Campbell @ TOW Towson -5.5

Campbell +4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Campbell's superior shooting efficiency and five-deep scoring rotation keeps this within a possession in a low-scoring grind where 4.5 points is massive value

YSU Youngstown State @ GB Green Bay -1.5

Green Bay -1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Green Bay's week of rest and 8-4 home dominance crushes Youngstown State's 4-10 road record and short turnaround—laying the points in a bounce-back spot.

JOES Saint Joseph's @ URI Rhode Island -3.5

Saint Joseph's +3.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Saint Joseph's is the better team with superior form and efficiency, getting 3.5 points against a home squad that just scored 46 in their last home game and has lost four of five — take the Hawks.

SBU St. Bonaventure @ GMU George Mason -4.5

St. Bonaventure +4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

St. Bonaventure catching 4.5 against a George Mason team in freefall — five losses in six games with defense hemorrhaging 77+ PPG.

GONZ Gonzaga -2.5 @ SMC Saint Mary's

Under 143.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Saint Mary's grinds tempo to a halt at home — Gonzaga's volume-based offense gets suffocated in a defensive rock fight that stays well under 143.5.

LAL Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 @ GSW Golden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers +4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Lakers' elite road record and rest advantage are undervalued against an inconsistent Warriors home team in a pace-controlled game

HOU Houston Rockets -2.5 @ MIA Miami Heat

Miami Heat +3.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Miami's massive home/road split and market disagreement make +3.5 a steal against a good but not great road Rockets team

PRES Presbyterian @ WIN Winthrop -9.5

Winthrop -9.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Winthrop is 13-1 at home while Presbyterian is 4-12 on the road and averaging just 59.6 PPG — the market overreacted to Winthrop's two tough road losses.

POR Portland Trail Blazers @ CHA Charlotte Hornets -7.5

Portland Trail Blazers +7.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Portland's road defense and Charlotte's home letdown spot make the 7.5 points too many — this should be closer to a pick'em

BC Boston College @ MIA Miami -15.5

Miami -15.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Miami's home defense and BC's 1-8 road record make this a mismatch — laying 15.5 in a rematch the Hurricanes already controlled.

VT Virginia Tech @ UNC North Carolina -6.5

Virginia Tech +6.5

LOSS

Virginia Tech's seven days of prep, offensive rebounding edge (14.9 OREB/game), and pace control keeps this tight against an overvalued UNC home line that should be 4.5-5.

HOW Howard -9.5 @ MORG Morgan State

Morgan State +8.5

LOSS

Week-long layoff meets 5-7 road team laying 8.5 against a balanced home squad that just dropped 90 and covers at home.

BYU BYU -2.5 @ WVU West Virginia

BYU -2.5

LOSS

BYU's firepower and rebounding edge overwhelm a West Virginia offense that's averaging just 64 PPG over its last four games and hasn't cracked 70 in a month.

MISS Ole Miss @ AUB Auburn -10.5

Ole Miss +10.5

WIN

Auburn has lost 5 of 6 and is giving up 88 PPG at home while Ole Miss's balanced offense stays competitive in every SEC road game — 10.5 is inflated off stale home splits.

VILL Villanova @ SJU St. John's -7.5

Villanova +7.5

LOSS

Villanova's balanced offense and road pedigree exploits an inflated line on a St. John's team reeling from a 32-point blowout

BALL Ball State @ NIU Northern Illinois -1.5

Ball State +1.5

WIN

Ball State's superior offensive balance and shooting depth should cover against a reeling NIU squad that's lost four of five and been torched at home recently.

RICH Richmond -4.5 @ LUC Loyola Chicago

Richmond -4.5

LOSS

Richmond's offensive surge meets Loyola's scoring drought in a pace-down matchup that favors the road favorite's efficiency and perimeter shooting

VMI VMI @ UTC Chattanooga -11.5

VMI +11.5

WIN

VMI's three 18+ ppg scorers can exploit Chattanooga's shaky home defense and keep this within the number even if they can't win outright.

QUC Queens University @ CARK Central Arkansas -1.5

Central Arkansas -2.5

WIN

Central Arkansas is 13-1 at home and has a major offensive firepower advantage over a Queens team that's 6-10 on the road with a 35.7 FG% and no answer for UCA's balanced attack.

TEX Texas @ TA&M Texas A&M -2.5

Texas A&M -3.5

LOSS

Texas A&M's elite home record and defensive intensity crush Texas' atrocious road form in a pace-controlled Aggies win.

TOL Toledo @ OHIO Ohio -1.5

Ohio -1.5

LOSS

Ohio's 7-day rest edge and elite rebounding at home crushes a tired Toledo squad playing their third game in nine days — books missed the rest mismatch by 2-3 points.

UTAH Utah @ ASU Arizona State -6.5

Utah +6.5

LOSS

Utah's size advantage inside and recent cover streak make them a strong play getting almost a full possession more than they got in the first meeting three weeks ago.

NCCU North Carolina Central -2.5 @ DSU Delaware State

Delaware State +2.5

LOSS

NCCU is 2-13 on the road and can't shoot; Delaware State defends home court and gets a revenge spot with a full week of rest.

DETM Detroit Mercy @ OAK Oakland -7.5

Detroit Mercy +7.5

WIN

Oakland's shaky home form and porous perimeter defense make them overvalued laying 7.5 to a scrappy Detroit Mercy team that's won 4 of their last 6 true road games.

PROV Providence @ CREI Creighton -3.5

Providence +2.5

WIN

Providence's elite five-man scoring depth and momentum edge exploits Creighton's four-game home skid at an undervalued number.

RAD Radford -1.5 @ LONG Longwood

Longwood +1.5

WIN

Longwood gets a full week of rest at home while Radford travels on 2 days rest with a 4-8 road record — take the rested dog with the better home/away splits and fresher legs

FIU Florida International @ LT Louisiana Tech -2.5

Florida International +2.5

WIN

LA Tech dominates at home but struggles to blow teams out — FIU already proved they can score on this defense two weeks ago, and 2.5 points in a revenge game rematch is gold for the battle-tested dog.