Archive
All Picks
Friday, Feb 20
1W-4L
Full card →
MILW
Milwaukee
@
DETM
Detroit Mercy
-1.5
Milwaukee +2.5
LOSS
Milwaukee's pace and offensive firepower keep this within a possession despite their ugly road record — the first matchup was an outlier and the line overreacts to recency bias.
LAC
LA Clippers
@
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
-6.5
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5
Lakers -6.5 — 8 days rest vs back-to-back Clippers who burned everything in a one-point win last night
NIA
Niagara
@
MSM
Mount St. Mary's
-6.5
Niagara +7
LOSS
Niagara's multi-dimensional offense and scoring depth are undervalued against a Mount St. Mary's team that hasn't topped 72 points in 5 of their last 6 games — take the dog getting a full touchdown wi
SPU
Saint Peter's
-1
@
IONA
Iona
Saint Peter's +1
LOSS
Saint Peter's is the hotter team with momentum, superior rebounding, and a defensive matchup advantage — take the point in a game they can win outright.
GB
Green Bay
@
OAK
Oakland
-6.5
Green Bay +6.5
WIN
Oakland's offense is trending down hard while Green Bay's pace-slowing, high-efficiency attack is built to keep this close on the road — 6.5 is too many points.
SHU
Sacred Heart
@
FAIR
Fairfield
-4.5
Sacred Heart +5.5
LOSS
Sacred Heart's elite five-man offense exploits Fairfield's defensive vulnerabilities in a rematch where the line is a full point too high on DraftKings
UTA
Utah Jazz
-1.5
@
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
Utah Jazz +1.5
Memphis is 1-4 in their last five, bleeding points defensively, and the market already moved off them — take the free 1.5 points with Utah on the road.
Thursday, Feb 19
9W-14L
Full card →
BING
Binghamton
@
BRY
Bryant
-5.5
Bryant -5.5
LOSS
Bryant's 7-4 at home vs Binghamton's 0-13 on the road, and the revenge angle from their 3-point loss three weeks ago makes this a clear lay-the-points spot.
UVM
Vermont
-1.5
@
UMBC
UMBC
Vermont -1.5
LOSS
Vermont's interior dominance and proven road form make them the sharp side in a rematch where UMBC's home record is inflated by weak competition.
MTST
Montana State
@
WEB
Weber State
-1.5
Montana State +1.5
LOSS
Montana State has beaten Weber State twice in a month and the line variance screams value — play the Bobcats catching points in a game they should win outright.
SAM
Samford
-10.5
@
CIT
The Citadel
Samford -10.5
LOSS
Samford's balanced offense and 5-1 road form since late January crushes a Citadel team averaging 51.5 PPG in their last two and bleeding efficiency gaps across the board.
ALST
Alabama State
@
BCU
Bethune-Cookman
-5.5
Bethune-Cookman -5.5
WIN
Bethune-Cookman dominates at home (8-3) and already smoked Alabama State by 15 three weeks ago; road-disaster Hornets (3-14 away) can't flip the script on short rest in a hostile gym.
APSU
Austin Peay
-11.5
@
UNF
North Florida
North Florida +10.5
WIN
Austin Peay is 7-7 on the road with defensive leaks, and North Florida's three scorers can keep this inside 10 points at home with a week of rest
SDAK
South Dakota
@
DEN
Denver
-6.5
Denver -6.5
WIN
Denver's rest advantage and home dominance crushes a rusty, road-awful South Dakota team coming off an 8-day layoff.
IUIN
IU Indianapolis
@
WRST
Wright State
-12.5
Over 162.5
LOSS
Pace-up matchup with two top-50 tempo teams and exploitable defenses — the 162.5 total is 5+ points too low given recent form and transition opportunities.
UTC
Chattanooga
@
MER
Mercer
-10.5
Mercer -10.5
LOSS
Mercer is 12-0 at home and gets revenge on a Chattanooga team that's 4-10 on the road and can't score away from home.
MONM
Monmouth
@
UNCW
UNC Wilmington
-6.5
Under 141.5
LOSS
Pace mismatch and elite home defense make this total 10 points too high — UNCW grinds, Monmouth can't run, projecting 135-137.
MORE
Morehead State
-2.5
@
EIU
Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois +1.5
LOSS
Eastern Illinois +1.5 — the books are slow to adjust on a home team facing a 5-10 road squad that doesn't travel well
UNCA
UNC Asheville
@
HPU
High Point
-14.5
UNC Asheville +13.5
LOSS
UNCA's five-deep scoring attack and competitive road history make 13.5 points too many in a fast-paced conference shootout
GWEB
Gardner-Webb
@
RAD
Radford
-19.5
Radford -19.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb is 0-14 on the road and just surrendered 112 at home; Radford's rested, rolling, and cooking at home where they've won 10 of 16.
UNH
New Hampshire
@
UML
UMass Lowell
-4.5
UMass Lowell -4.5
WIN
UMass Lowell -4.5 — rested home favorite against a New Hampshire team that's 1-12 on the road and 0-6 in true road games since December, averaging just 62 PPG in those losses.
TULN
Tulane
@
UNT
North Texas
-6.5
Under 136.5
LOSS
North Texas-Tulane screams under — both teams just played defensive grinds, 4 days rest sharpens execution, and Tulane's efficiency forces a slow pace North Texas can't keep up with.
LONG
Longwood
@
PRES
Presbyterian
-2.5
Longwood +2.5
LOSS
Longwood's rebounding dominance and offensive upside make them the play as short road dogs in a low-scoring grind.
CP
Cal Poly
@
HAW
Hawai'i
-11.5
Hawai'i -12.5
LOSS
Hawai'i bounces back at home where they're 14-1, while Cal Poly's road struggles and offensive limitations make this line 1-1.5 points too generous for the dog.
EWU
Eastern Washington
-1.5
@
SAC
Sacramento State
Eastern Washington -1.5
WIN
Eastern Washington's four-game win streak and elite offensive system overwhelms a Sacramento State team that's lost three straight and can't defend
UCD
UC Davis
@
CSUF
Cal State Fullerton
-1.5
Cal State Fullerton -1.5
LOSS
Fullerton's home defense and rebounding edge exploits UC Davis's road shooting woes — line 2 points too low
UTM
UT Martin
-2.5
@
LR
Little Rock
Little Rock +2.5
WIN
Little Rock catches a tired road favorite on short rest in a revenge spot — taking the points at home in a defensive grinder.
KC
Kansas City
@
UND
North Dakota
-10.5
North Dakota -10.5
WIN
Kansas City is 1-13 on the road and averaging 62 PPG away from home — North Dakota's elite home defense will suffocate them into the low 60s and cover by double-digits
MRSH
Marshall
@
APP
App State
-2.5
Marshall +2.5
WIN
Marshall's balanced attack catches a home favorite in offensive free fall — grabbing the points with the hotter team.
WAG
Wagner
@
MERC
Mercyhurst
-5.5
Wagner +5.5
WIN
Wagner's offensive balance, rebounding edge, and Mercyhurst's inconsistent scoring make this spread too wide for a home team averaging under 68 PPG.