Archive
All Picks
Friday, Feb 20
0W-1L
Full card →
MIA
Miami Heat
-3.5
@
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks +3.5
Atlanta catches Miami flat-footed after a 9-day layoff while the Hawks are in game rhythm from last night's road win.
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
@
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
-3.5
New Orleans Pelicans -4.5
Pelicans get the better end of extended All-Star rest, beat a Bucks road team that already lost here by 4 two weeks ago, plus the over cashes in what should be another pace-up track meet.
UTA
Utah Jazz
-1.5
@
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
Utah Jazz +1.5
Memphis is 1-4 in their last five, bleeding points defensively, and the market already moved off them — take the free 1.5 points with Utah on the road.
LAC
LA Clippers
@
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
-6.5
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5
Lakers -6.5 — 8 days rest vs back-to-back Clippers who burned everything in a one-point win last night
DEN
Denver Nuggets
-1.5
@
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers +1.5
Denver on a back-to-back with no legs vs Portland with 8 days rest at home — the scheduling edge is too massive to ignore at this number
IND
Indiana Pacers
-1.5
@
WAS
Washington Wizards
Indiana Pacers -1.5
Pacers get revenge in back-to-back road spot against overvalued Wizards who can't win two straight at home
IU
Indiana
@
PUR
Purdue
-11.5
Indiana +10.5
LOSS
Indiana gets 5 days rest vs Purdue's 3, and their frontcourt already beat this team once — laying double digits on a revenge spot is asking for trouble.
Thursday, Feb 19
8W-15L
Full card →
ALST
Alabama State
@
BCU
Bethune-Cookman
-5.5
Bethune-Cookman -5.5
WIN
Bethune-Cookman dominates at home (8-3) and already smoked Alabama State by 15 three weeks ago; road-disaster Hornets (3-14 away) can't flip the script on short rest in a hostile gym.
IUIN
IU Indianapolis
@
WRST
Wright State
-12.5
Over 162.5
LOSS
Pace-up matchup with two top-50 tempo teams and exploitable defenses — the 162.5 total is 5+ points too low given recent form and transition opportunities.
MONM
Monmouth
@
UNCW
UNC Wilmington
-6.5
Under 141.5
LOSS
Pace mismatch and elite home defense make this total 10 points too high — UNCW grinds, Monmouth can't run, projecting 135-137.
TULN
Tulane
@
UNT
North Texas
-6.5
Under 136.5
LOSS
North Texas-Tulane screams under — both teams just played defensive grinds, 4 days rest sharpens execution, and Tulane's efficiency forces a slow pace North Texas can't keep up with.
MORE
Morehead State
-2.5
@
EIU
Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois +1.5
LOSS
Eastern Illinois +1.5 — the books are slow to adjust on a home team facing a 5-10 road squad that doesn't travel well
SDAK
South Dakota
@
DEN
Denver
-6.5
Denver -6.5
WIN
Denver's rest advantage and home dominance crushes a rusty, road-awful South Dakota team coming off an 8-day layoff.
SAM
Samford
-10.5
@
CIT
The Citadel
Samford -10.5
LOSS
Samford's balanced offense and 5-1 road form since late January crushes a Citadel team averaging 51.5 PPG in their last two and bleeding efficiency gaps across the board.
MTST
Montana State
@
WEB
Weber State
-1.5
Montana State +1.5
LOSS
Montana State has beaten Weber State twice in a month and the line variance screams value — play the Bobcats catching points in a game they should win outright.
APSU
Austin Peay
-11.5
@
UNF
North Florida
North Florida +10.5
WIN
Austin Peay is 7-7 on the road with defensive leaks, and North Florida's three scorers can keep this inside 10 points at home with a week of rest
UVM
Vermont
-1.5
@
UMBC
UMBC
Vermont -1.5
LOSS
Vermont's interior dominance and proven road form make them the sharp side in a rematch where UMBC's home record is inflated by weak competition.
BING
Binghamton
@
BRY
Bryant
-5.5
Bryant -5.5
LOSS
Bryant's 7-4 at home vs Binghamton's 0-13 on the road, and the revenge angle from their 3-point loss three weeks ago makes this a clear lay-the-points spot.
UNH
New Hampshire
@
UML
UMass Lowell
-4.5
UMass Lowell -4.5
WIN
UMass Lowell -4.5 — rested home favorite against a New Hampshire team that's 1-12 on the road and 0-6 in true road games since December, averaging just 62 PPG in those losses.
GWEB
Gardner-Webb
@
RAD
Radford
-19.5
Radford -19.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb is 0-14 on the road and just surrendered 112 at home; Radford's rested, rolling, and cooking at home where they've won 10 of 16.
UTC
Chattanooga
@
MER
Mercer
-10.5
Mercer -10.5
LOSS
Mercer is 12-0 at home and gets revenge on a Chattanooga team that's 4-10 on the road and can't score away from home.
UNCA
UNC Asheville
@
HPU
High Point
-14.5
UNC Asheville +13.5
LOSS
UNCA's five-deep scoring attack and competitive road history make 13.5 points too many in a fast-paced conference shootout
MEM
Memphis
@
USF
South Florida
-8.5
Memphis +8.5
LOSS
Memphis's five-man balanced attack and rest advantage after a blowout loss make +8.5 too many points against a South Florida team that grinds out wins but hasn't dominated anyone lately.
LONG
Longwood
@
PRES
Presbyterian
-2.5
Longwood +2.5
LOSS
Longwood's rebounding dominance and offensive upside make them the play as short road dogs in a low-scoring grind.
LIU
Long Island University
@
SFPA
Saint Francis
Long Island University -3.5
LOSS
LIU's rebounding edge and defensive discipline exploit a Saint Francis team in complete freefall that's lost six straight and can't get stops.
UTM
UT Martin
-2.5
@
LR
Little Rock
Little Rock +2.5
WIN
Little Rock catches a tired road favorite on short rest in a revenge spot — taking the points at home in a defensive grinder.
GASO
Georgia Southern
@
GAST
Georgia State
-1.5
Georgia Southern +1.5
LOSS
Georgia Southern's balanced offense and momentum exploits a Georgia State team on a six-game skid with broken shooting and zero defensive answers.
COFC
Charleston
-4.5
@
NCAT
North Carolina A&T
Charleston -5.5
WIN
Charleston's offensive firepower and recent 16-point beatdown of this opponent make 5.5 points too light on the road
CBU
California Baptist
@
UVU
Utah Valley
-7.5
Utah Valley -7.5
WIN
Utah Valley's 14-0 home record, seven days rest, and revenge spot against a tired California Baptist squad makes this a rare spot where the line is actually too low.
UTU
Utah Tech
@
UTA
UT Arlington
-4.5
UT Arlington -4.5
WIN
UT Arlington bounces back at home after five straight losses, leveraging rest, revenge, and pace control to cover against a road-weak Utah Tech squad.