All Picks

W&M William & Mary -1.5 @ CAM Campbell

William & Mary -1.5

LOSS

William & Mary covers as a road favorite in a revenge spot, exploiting Campbell's glass and recent offensive regression after their 104-point outlier three weeks ago.

UPST South Carolina Upstate @ WIN Winthrop -13.5

South Carolina Upstate +13.5

WIN

Winthrop's week-long layoff and Upstate's ability to muck up possessions make this double-digit spread too high in a low-possession rock fight.

WAG Wagner @ MERC Mercyhurst -5.5

Wagner +5.5

WIN

Wagner's offensive balance, rebounding edge, and Mercyhurst's inconsistent scoring make this spread too wide for a home team averaging under 68 PPG.

PV Prairie View A&M -9.5 @ MVSU Mississippi Valley State

Prairie View A&M -9.5

WIN

Prairie View's balanced scoring attack exploits Mississippi Valley State's porous defense in a matchup where the less-dysfunctional team covers comfortably.

LEM Le Moyne @ CCSU Central Connecticut -4.5

Central Connecticut -4.5

LOSS

CCSU's 7-3 home dominance and offensive rebounding edge crush Le Moyne's 5-10 road struggles — lay the 4.5 for a comfortable home win

CARK Central Arkansas -8.5 @ STET Stetson

Stetson +8.5

LOSS

Stetson's 7-5 home record and transition offense exploits Central Arkansas's 4-9 road mark and 25 turnovers per game — we're getting 3 free points on seasonal record bias.

UCI UC Irvine -5.5 @ LBSU Long Beach State

Long Beach State +5.5

LOSS

Long Beach State's 7-6 home record and five-man scoring attack makes this 5.5-point spread too generous against a UC Irvine team that's just 7-5 on the road with three losses in their last four away g

EWU Eastern Washington -1.5 @ SAC Sacramento State

Eastern Washington -1.5

WIN

Eastern Washington's four-game win streak and elite offensive system overwhelms a Sacramento State team that's lost three straight and can't defend

SIUE SIU Edwardsville -1.5 @ TNTC Tennessee Tech

Tennessee Tech +2.5

WIN

Tennessee Tech's five-headed offensive attack and superior pace exploits SIUE's 15th-percentile offense on the road — take the home dog with recent momentum

CP Cal Poly @ HAW Hawai'i -11.5

Hawai'i -12.5

LOSS

Hawai'i bounces back at home where they're 14-1, while Cal Poly's road struggles and offensive limitations make this line 1-1.5 points too generous for the dog.

ARST Arkansas State -8.5 @ UL Louisiana

Over 144.5

LOSS

Arkansas State's scorching shooters face Louisiana's chaos defense — line's suppressed and the Red Wolves have eclipsed 90+ three times in five games.

TXSO Texas Southern @ UAPB Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Texas Southern +2.5

WIN

Texas Southern's balanced 73 PPG offense gets 2.5 points against a 59 PPG UAPB squad limping home after back-to-back blowout road losses — market overvalues home court in low-major split.

MONT Montana -1.5 @ IDST Idaho State

Montana -1.5

LOSS

Montana wins the rematch comfortably against a reeling Idaho State squad that's lost 6 straight and got blown out by 9 at Montana three weeks ago — books undervaluing the visitor by 3-4 points.

FIU Florida International @ LIB Liberty -11.5

Liberty -11.5

LOSS

FIU is 2-8 on the road and Liberty's defense at home should force a grind-it-out blowout well past 12 points

SUU Southern Utah @ TAR Tarleton State -4.5

Southern Utah +5.5

WIN

Southern Utah's extra rest and shooting efficiency gives them value at +5.5 in a revenge rematch against a tired Tarleton team.

STO Stonehill @ NHVN New Haven -2.5

New Haven -2.5

WIN

New Haven catches a road-broken Stonehill team in a defensive grind, exploiting a 3-13 away record and a stalled offense averaging 56 PPG over the last four games.

IDHO Idaho @ PRST Portland State -4.5

Portland State -3.5

WIN

Portland State's depth, home-court advantage, and rest edge after a brutal road stretch make them a sharp play against a road-challenged Idaho squad inflated by wins over weak competition.

AAMU Alabama A&M @ FAMU Florida A&M -1.5

Alabama A&M +1.5

WIN

Alabama A&M beat Florida A&M by 7 three weeks ago and is the more disciplined team — getting points here is a gift.

LIN Lindenwood @ TNST Tennessee State -3.5

Tennessee State -3.5

WIN

Tennessee State's home dominance (9-2) and offensive depth overwhelm a road-weary Lindenwood squad that struggles to score away from home.

UCD UC Davis @ CSUF Cal State Fullerton -1.5

Cal State Fullerton -1.5

LOSS

Fullerton's home defense and rebounding edge exploits UC Davis's road shooting woes — line 2 points too low

FDU Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5 @ CHST Chicago State

Chicago State +1.5

WIN

Chicago State's home defense and FDU's horrific road offense make this a one-possession grinder where the dog covers

UALB UAlbany @ NJIT NJIT -3.5

UAlbany +4.5

WIN

UAlbany's superior shooting efficiency and offensive firepower make them a live dog against a NJIT team running on unsustainable luck

USI Southern Indiana -2.5 @ WIU Western Illinois

Southern Indiana -2.5

WIN

Southern Indiana's rebounding edge and fresher legs exploit Western Illinois coming off a 58-point home disaster with seven days of rust.

MRSH Marshall @ APP App State -2.5

Marshall +2.5

WIN

Marshall's balanced attack catches a home favorite in offensive free fall — grabbing the points with the hotter team.

TXST Texas State @ USA South Alabama -4.5

Texas State +3.5

WIN

Texas State's size, rest edge, and underrated road competitiveness make them a steal at +3.5 against a South Alabama team that's been bleeding points and playing on short rest.

HAMP Hampton @ HOF Hofstra -12.5

Hampton +11.5

LOSS

Hampton's pace and defensive pressure will disrupt Hofstra's deliberate offense, keeping this game within single digits and making 11.5 too many points.

DREX Drexel -1.5 @ NE Northeastern

Drexel -1.5

WIN

Drexel's paint dominance and recent revenge win over a reeling Northeastern squad make this short road number a gift.

CSUB Cal State Bakersfield @ UCR UC Riverside -5.5

UC Riverside -5.5

WIN

Bakersfield is 2-10 on the road with anemic shooting splits, and UC Riverside's home edge and rest advantage make 5.5 points a gift

KC Kansas City @ UND North Dakota -10.5

North Dakota -10.5

WIN

Kansas City is 1-13 on the road and averaging 62 PPG away from home — North Dakota's elite home defense will suffocate them into the low 60s and cover by double-digits

CSUN Cal State Northridge @ UCSB UC Santa Barbara -3.5

Cal State Northridge +3.5

WIN

Northridge's five-game scoring surge and offensive rebounding edge exploits UCSB's home/road split — Matadors cover or win outright