All Picks

MONM Monmouth @ UNCW UNC Wilmington -6.5

Under 141.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Pace mismatch and elite home defense make this total 10 points too high — UNCW grinds, Monmouth can't run, projecting 135-137.

MTST Montana State @ WEB Weber State -1.5

Montana State +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Montana State has beaten Weber State twice in a month and the line variance screams value — play the Bobcats catching points in a game they should win outright.

SAM Samford -10.5 @ CIT The Citadel

Samford -10.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Samford's balanced offense and 5-1 road form since late January crushes a Citadel team averaging 51.5 PPG in their last two and bleeding efficiency gaps across the board.

SDAK South Dakota @ DEN Denver -6.5

Denver -6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Denver's rest advantage and home dominance crushes a rusty, road-awful South Dakota team coming off an 8-day layoff.

ALST Alabama State @ BCU Bethune-Cookman -5.5

Bethune-Cookman -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Bethune-Cookman dominates at home (8-3) and already smoked Alabama State by 15 three weeks ago; road-disaster Hornets (3-14 away) can't flip the script on short rest in a hostile gym.

MORE Morehead State -2.5 @ EIU Eastern Illinois

Eastern Illinois +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Eastern Illinois +1.5 — the books are slow to adjust on a home team facing a 5-10 road squad that doesn't travel well

TULN Tulane @ UNT North Texas -6.5

Under 136.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

North Texas-Tulane screams under — both teams just played defensive grinds, 4 days rest sharpens execution, and Tulane's efficiency forces a slow pace North Texas can't keep up with.

APSU Austin Peay -11.5 @ UNF North Florida

North Florida +10.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Austin Peay is 7-7 on the road with defensive leaks, and North Florida's three scorers can keep this inside 10 points at home with a week of rest

UNCA UNC Asheville @ HPU High Point -14.5

UNC Asheville +13.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

UNCA's five-deep scoring attack and competitive road history make 13.5 points too many in a fast-paced conference shootout

UTC Chattanooga @ MER Mercer -10.5

Mercer -10.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Mercer is 12-0 at home and gets revenge on a Chattanooga team that's 4-10 on the road and can't score away from home.

UVM Vermont -1.5 @ UMBC UMBC

Vermont -1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Vermont's interior dominance and proven road form make them the sharp side in a rematch where UMBC's home record is inflated by weak competition.

IUIN IU Indianapolis @ WRST Wright State -12.5

Over 162.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Pace-up matchup with two top-50 tempo teams and exploitable defenses — the 162.5 total is 5+ points too low given recent form and transition opportunities.

GWEB Gardner-Webb @ RAD Radford -19.5

Radford -19.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Gardner-Webb is 0-14 on the road and just surrendered 112 at home; Radford's rested, rolling, and cooking at home where they've won 10 of 16.

UNH New Hampshire @ UML UMass Lowell -4.5

UMass Lowell -4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

UMass Lowell -4.5 — rested home favorite against a New Hampshire team that's 1-12 on the road and 0-6 in true road games since December, averaging just 62 PPG in those losses.

BING Binghamton @ BRY Bryant -5.5

Bryant -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Bryant's 7-4 at home vs Binghamton's 0-13 on the road, and the revenge angle from their 3-point loss three weeks ago makes this a clear lay-the-points spot.

IDHO Idaho @ PRST Portland State -4.5

Portland State -3.5

WIN

Portland State's depth, home-court advantage, and rest edge after a brutal road stretch make them a sharp play against a road-challenged Idaho squad inflated by wins over weak competition.

UTU Utah Tech @ UTA UT Arlington -4.5

UT Arlington -4.5

WIN

UT Arlington bounces back at home after five straight losses, leveraging rest, revenge, and pace control to cover against a road-weak Utah Tech squad.

CSUN Cal State Northridge @ UCSB UC Santa Barbara -3.5

Cal State Northridge +3.5

WIN

Northridge's five-game scoring surge and offensive rebounding edge exploits UCSB's home/road split — Matadors cover or win outright

CSUB Cal State Bakersfield @ UCR UC Riverside -5.5

UC Riverside -5.5

WIN

Bakersfield is 2-10 on the road with anemic shooting splits, and UC Riverside's home edge and rest advantage make 5.5 points a gift

GASO Georgia Southern @ GAST Georgia State -1.5

Georgia Southern +1.5

LOSS

Georgia Southern's balanced offense and momentum exploits a Georgia State team on a six-game skid with broken shooting and zero defensive answers.

COFC Charleston -4.5 @ NCAT North Carolina A&T

Charleston -5.5

WIN

Charleston's offensive firepower and recent 16-point beatdown of this opponent make 5.5 points too light on the road

UPST South Carolina Upstate @ WIN Winthrop -13.5

South Carolina Upstate +13.5

WIN

Winthrop's week-long layoff and Upstate's ability to muck up possessions make this double-digit spread too high in a low-possession rock fight.

CP Cal Poly @ HAW Hawai'i -11.5

Hawai'i -12.5

LOSS

Hawai'i bounces back at home where they're 14-1, while Cal Poly's road struggles and offensive limitations make this line 1-1.5 points too generous for the dog.

W&M William & Mary -1.5 @ CAM Campbell

William & Mary -1.5

LOSS

William & Mary covers as a road favorite in a revenge spot, exploiting Campbell's glass and recent offensive regression after their 104-point outlier three weeks ago.

TXST Texas State @ USA South Alabama -4.5

Texas State +3.5

WIN

Texas State's size, rest edge, and underrated road competitiveness make them a steal at +3.5 against a South Alabama team that's been bleeding points and playing on short rest.

HAMP Hampton @ HOF Hofstra -12.5

Hampton +11.5

LOSS

Hampton's pace and defensive pressure will disrupt Hofstra's deliberate offense, keeping this game within single digits and making 11.5 too many points.

DREX Drexel -1.5 @ NE Northeastern

Drexel -1.5

WIN

Drexel's paint dominance and recent revenge win over a reeling Northeastern squad make this short road number a gift.

MEM Memphis @ USF South Florida -8.5

Memphis +8.5

LOSS

Memphis's five-man balanced attack and rest advantage after a blowout loss make +8.5 too many points against a South Florida team that grinds out wins but hasn't dominated anyone lately.

LONG Longwood @ PRES Presbyterian -2.5

Longwood +2.5

LOSS

Longwood's rebounding dominance and offensive upside make them the play as short road dogs in a low-scoring grind.

LIU Long Island University @ SFPA Saint Francis

Long Island University -3.5

LOSS

LIU's rebounding edge and defensive discipline exploit a Saint Francis team in complete freefall that's lost six straight and can't get stops.