Archive
All Picks
Friday, Feb 20
2W-11L
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AKR
Akron
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BALL
Ball State
Akron -14.5
LOSS
Akron's superior efficiency and Ball State's six-game skid with terminal defensive breakdowns makes this a 4-unit blowout play
VCU
VCU
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SLU
Saint Louis
-7.5
VCU +7.5
LOSS
VCU's offensive firepower and elite road form make them severely undervalued against a Saint Louis team that can't score enough to cover this bloated number.
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
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MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
-13.5
Minnesota Timberwolves -13.5
Minnesota fully rested and angry at home vs a Dallas team that's 5-19 on the road and has quit on the season — lay the big number.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
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OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
-18.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -17.5
OKC has been resting for 8 days while Brooklyn is on a back-to-back after scoring 84 last night — rest disparity is a 4-6 point edge and this spread is light.
SIE
Siena
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MRMK
Merrimack
-3.5
Siena +3.5
LOSS
Siena's elite offense and road success will exploit Merrimack's inflated line after beating weak competition — take the points with the Saints.
BGSU
Bowling Green
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M-OH
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green +7.5
LOSS
Miami's grind-it-out style and BGSU's superior shooting efficiency keep this within a possession in a low-scoring MAC slug-fest.
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
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NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
-3.5
New Orleans Pelicans -4.5
Pelicans get the better end of extended All-Star rest, beat a Bucks road team that already lost here by 4 two weeks ago, plus the over cashes in what should be another pace-up track meet.
NIA
Niagara
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MSM
Mount St. Mary's
-6.5
Niagara +7
LOSS
Niagara's multi-dimensional offense and scoring depth are undervalued against a Mount St. Mary's team that hasn't topped 72 points in 5 of their last 6 games — take the dog getting a full touchdown wi
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
-6.5
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CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets +6.5
Cleveland's 6-game streak inflates the line — sharp books are 1-1.5 points lower, and Charlotte defends home court better than the public thinks.
GB
Green Bay
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OAK
Oakland
-6.5
Green Bay +6.5
WIN
Oakland's offense is trending down hard while Green Bay's pace-slowing, high-efficiency attack is built to keep this close on the road — 6.5 is too many points.
SHU
Sacred Heart
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FAIR
Fairfield
-4.5
Sacred Heart +5.5
LOSS
Sacred Heart's elite five-man offense exploits Fairfield's defensive vulnerabilities in a rematch where the line is a full point too high on DraftKings
PRIN
Princeton
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BRWN
Brown
-1.5
Brown -1.5
LOSS
Brown's five-headed offensive monster exploits Princeton's catastrophic 1-11 road record and porous defense in a game mispriced as a toss-up
CAN
Canisius
-1
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RID
Rider
Canisius +1.5
WIN
Canisius has the better offense and shooting while Rider is in a five-game skid scoring 47-55 points per game — books are begging you to lay chalk with a broken team
MRST
Marist
-5
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MAN
Manhattan
Manhattan +5
LOSS
Manhattan's 8-5 home form and three-game win streak make them severely undervalued against a struggling Marist road team.
MILW
Milwaukee
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DETM
Detroit Mercy
-1.5
Milwaukee +2.5
LOSS
Milwaukee's pace and offensive firepower keep this within a possession despite their ugly road record — the first matchup was an outlier and the line overreacts to recency bias.
IU
Indiana
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PUR
Purdue
-11.5
Indiana +10.5
LOSS
Indiana gets 5 days rest vs Purdue's 3, and their frontcourt already beat this team once — laying double digits on a revenge spot is asking for trouble.
SPU
Saint Peter's
-1
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IONA
Iona
Saint Peter's +1
LOSS
Saint Peter's is the hotter team with momentum, superior rebounding, and a defensive matchup advantage — take the point in a game they can win outright.
IND
Indiana Pacers
-1.5
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WAS
Washington Wizards
Indiana Pacers -1.5
Pacers get revenge in back-to-back road spot against overvalued Wizards who can't win two straight at home
DEN
Denver Nuggets
-1.5
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POR
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers +1.5
Denver on a back-to-back with no legs vs Portland with 8 days rest at home — the scheduling edge is too massive to ignore at this number
LAC
LA Clippers
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LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
-6.5
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5
Lakers -6.5 — 8 days rest vs back-to-back Clippers who burned everything in a one-point win last night
UTA
Utah Jazz
-1.5
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MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
Utah Jazz +1.5
Memphis is 1-4 in their last five, bleeding points defensively, and the market already moved off them — take the free 1.5 points with Utah on the road.
MIA
Miami Heat
-3.5
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ATL
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks +3.5
Atlanta catches Miami flat-footed after a 9-day layoff while the Hawks are in game rhythm from last night's road win.