Archive
All Picks
Saturday, Feb 21
14W-15L
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ND
Notre Dame
@
PITT
Pittsburgh
-1.5
Notre Dame +1.5
LOSS
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS at home during a five-game skid, while Notre Dame just snapped their road struggles with an 89-point explosion — take the better offense getting points.
DEL
Delaware
@
MTSU
Middle Tennessee
-8.5
Over 136.5
WIN
Both teams pushed 177 two weeks ago and Delaware's offense has averaged 80 PPG over their last four — this total is 10 points too low
ARIZ
Arizona
@
HOU
Houston
-5.5
Arizona +5.5
WIN
Arizona's elite shooting (46.1% FG) and +10 rebounding edge neutralize Houston's home grind — take the better offensive team getting points
ODU
Old Dominion
@
USM
Southern Miss
-3.5
Southern Miss -4.5
WIN
Southern Miss is 11-3 at home with a week of rest while ODU is 3-12 on the road and playing their third game in six days — the home/away split gap is massive and the line hasn't caught up.
SAM
Samford
@
MER
Mercer
-3.5
Samford +3.5
WIN
Samford's elite shooting and defensive discipline exploits Mercer's recent defensive breakdowns in a pace-controlled grind
MRSH
Marshall
-1.5
@
CCU
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina +1.5
WIN
Rested home dog with balanced scoring and a rest edge over a road-weary Marshall team playing their third game in six days — line should be 3.5, not 1.5
SJSU
San Jose State
@
BOIS
Boise State
-16.5
Over 144.5
WIN
Boise's recent offensive struggles and defensive lapses combined with San Jose's improved shooting make this total too low for a revenge game at altitude
PAC
Pacific
@
GONZ
Gonzaga
-19.5
Over 144.5
LOSS
Gonzaga's elite pace and five 17+ PPG scorers overwhelm a Pacific defense that can't score or slow tempo on the road — Over 144.5 clears 150.
VAL
Valparaiso
@
UIC
UIC
-7.5
UIC -7.5
LOSS
UIC's home dominance and Valpo's brutal 3-9 road record make this a clear fade of the underdog.
EVAN
Evansville
@
MUR
Murray State
-14.5
Murray State -14.5
WIN
Murray State bounces back at home against a broken Evansville road team that just scored 46 points and can't handle the Racers' rebounding dominance.
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
-3.5
@
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
Philadelphia 76ers -3.5
Rested Sixers catching a dead Pelicans team on a back-to-back after giving up 139 last night — situational spot screams fade the exhausted home side.
EMU
Eastern Michigan
@
TOL
Toledo
-8.5
Toledo -8.5
WIN
Toledo's week of rest and offensive firepower overwhelms Eastern Michigan's road struggles — this covers by double digits.
UNC
North Carolina
-1.5
@
SYR
Syracuse
Syracuse +2
LOSS
North Carolina's road woes and Syracuse's home dominance create value on the underdog, with the total primed to fly over in a Carrier Dome shootout.
SCU
Santa Clara
@
SF
San Francisco
San Francisco +7.5
LOSS
San Francisco's home offensive efficiency and Santa Clara's rust off a week layoff make 7.5 points too many in a rivalry game with sharp line disagreement across books.
SMC
Saint Mary's
@
WSU
Washington State
Saint Mary's -8.5
WIN
Saint Mary's has a massive interior advantage and elite defense to suffocate Washington State's limited offense on the road
UK
Kentucky
@
AUB
Auburn
-2.5
Auburn -2.5
LOSS
Auburn -2.5 at home against a Kentucky team that's 3-4 on the road, getting a full point of value versus market consensus at -3.5.
URI
Rhode Island
-4.5
@
LAS
La Salle
Rhode Island -4.5
LOSS
Rhode Island's elite shooting and road form dominates La Salle's six-game skid and offensive futility.
LMU
Loyola Marymount
-2.5
@
USD
San Diego
San Diego +2.5
LOSS
San Diego's home edge and LMU's road struggles make this line 1-2 points off — backing the home dog in a pace-up rematch.
LIU
Long Island University
-2.5
@
MERC
Mercyhurst
Long Island University -2.5
LOSS
LIU's 13+ rebounding advantage and superior road form make them the play against a Mercyhurst team that's lost 4 of 6 and just dropped a home game to Wagner.
PENN
Pennsylvania
@
YALE
Yale
-9.5
Yale -9.5
LOSS
Yale's home dominance and Penn's 3-8 road struggles make this a comfortable double-digit cover in a revenge spot
HARV
Harvard
@
COR
Cornell
-4
Harvard +4
WIN
Harvard's discipline and Lin's playmaking keep this within a possession as Cornell's home inconsistency against quality Ivy opponents creates value on the dog.
KC
Kansas City
@
NDSU
North Dakota State
-18.5
Kansas City +18.5
LOSS
Kansas City's shooters keep this closer than the 18.5-point spread suggests against a methodical NDSU team that doesn't blow the doors off opponents.
L-MD
Loyola Maryland
@
COLG
Colgate
-8.5
Over 151.5
WIN
Colgate's defensive collapse and Loyola's balanced scoring attack set up a pace-up affair that clears 155 comfortably
LEM
Le Moyne
-2.5
@
STO
Stonehill
Under 137.5
LOSS
Stonehill's defensive blueprint from the first meeting holds; both teams grind this into a rock fight that stays well under the inflated total
UTEP
UTEP
@
NMSU
New Mexico State
UTEP +7.5
WIN
UTEP already beat New Mexico State two weeks ago and getting 7.5 in the rematch is too many points for a team that proved they can score with the Aggies
NHVN
New Haven
@
FDU
Fairleigh Dickinson
-2.5
Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5
LOSS
Fairleigh Dickinson's 8-5 home dominance and three-headed scoring attack should overwhelm New Haven's road-weary offense in a low-possession grinder
WGA
West Georgia
@
QUC
Queens University
-11.5
West Georgia +11.5
WIN
West Georgia's superior shooting (43.5 FG% vs 35.7%) and half-court discipline should keep this within single digits against a Queens team whose recent scoring surge is unsustainable
DAV
Davidson
-1
@
FOR
Fordham
Fordham -1.5
WIN
Fordham's defensive pressure and pace control neutralizes Davidson's explosive offense in a home grinder
JMU
James Madison
-1.5
@
GAST
Georgia State
Georgia State +1.5
LOSS
Georgia State +1.5 cashes as JMU's brutal road form (4-10) meets a 7-5 home team in a revenge spot with balanced scoring depth
UTC
Chattanooga
-4.5
@
CIT
The Citadel
The Citadel +4.5
LOSS
The Citadel gets 4.5 at home after already beating Chattanooga on the road two weeks ago — the revenge narrative is overpriced and the Mocs' road defense is a liability on short rest.