All Picks

ETSU East Tennessee State @ UNCG UNC Greensboro

UNC Greensboro +6.5

LOSS

UNC Greensboro catching a road favorite that drops 5.6 PPG away from home, with the line scattered across books and sharp money already pushing it to 7.5.

UNCW UNC Wilmington @ CAM Campbell

Campbell +2.5

LOSS

Campbell's 9-3 home record and five 15+ PPG scorers give them the firepower edge in a pace-up game the market is undervaluing

TXSO Texas Southern -12.5 @ MVSU Mississippi Valley State

Texas Southern -12.5

LOSS

MVSU is 1-10 at home with an 18-game home losing streak, and Texas Southern's frontcourt advantage and momentum make this a layup.

PV Prairie View A&M @ UAPB Arkansas-Pine Bluff -3.5

Prairie View A&M +3.5

WIN

Prairie View's offensive firepower and momentum exploits Arkansas-Pine Bluff's three-game skid and league-worst scoring output at inflated home number

GRAM Grambling @ SOU Southern -5.5

Southern -5.5

WIN

Southern's 7-2 home dominance crushes Grambling's 4-11 road nightmare — pace mismatch and transition game create separation

INST Indiana State @ BEL Belmont

Indiana State +13.5

LOSS

Indiana State's three-point shooting and defensive grit keep this closer than the 13.5-point line suggests — Belmont wins, but not by double digits.

EKU Eastern Kentucky @ BELL Bellarmine

Bellarmine -2

LOSS

Bellarmine's 9-4 home dominance crushes Eastern Kentucky's 2-13 road disaster — pace control and venue edge seal it.

NCAT North Carolina A&T @ ELON Elon

North Carolina A&T +7.5

WIN

Elon's two-week home layoff creates rust concerns while A&T's road shooting edge and perimeter firepower exploit a porous Phoenix defense that's gone 4-5 in its last nine home games

APSU Austin Peay @ JAX Jacksonville

Under 141

WIN

Austin Peay on short road rest walks into Jacksonville's home defense — this stays under 141 in a grind-it-out ASUN rock fight

FUR Furman @ WOF Wofford

Wofford -1.5

LOSS

Wofford's 10-point scoring edge and Furman's road woes make this a clear home cover in a tight SoCon rivalry

UNM New Mexico @ FRES Fresno State

Fresno State +8.5

WIN

Fresno State's 10-6 home mark and balanced scoring exploits New Mexico's road struggles and rebounding vulnerability

PROV Providence @ DEP DePaul

Providence +1.5

WIN

Providence has superior rest, already dominated this matchup, and DePaul's home success is schedule-inflated — Friars cover and likely win outright

AMCC Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ MCN McNeese

Under 139.5

WIN

McNeese's defensive grind at home and Corpus Christi's road shooting woes point to a physical slugfest that stays under 140

ILST Illinois State @ BRAD Bradley -3.5

Bradley -3.5

WIN

Bradley's 14-3 home dominance and five 15+ PPG scorers crush Illinois State's 4-8 road fragility at a discounted line.

ILL Illinois -6.5 @ UCLA UCLA

Illinois -6.5

LOSS

Illinois thrives on the road (8-2) while UCLA's offense is shattered after back-to-back blowouts; Illini win by double digits.

SDAK South Dakota @ ORU Oral Roberts

South Dakota +1.5

LOSS

South Dakota already beat ORU this season and the line treats them like a typical road dog when they're significantly better than their 3-9 away mark suggests — books haven't adjusted for venue-specif

NAU Northern Arizona @ UNCO Northern Colorado

Northern Arizona +12.5

WIN

NAU's balanced offense and equal rest exposure make this 12.5-point road spread a trap — the dog has the firepower to keep this inside a possession.

MONT Montana @ WEB Weber State

Montana +2.5

LOSS

Montana's elite interior shooting and rest equity make them a live underdog against an overvalued Weber State team coming off an emotional rivalry win.

CSUF Cal State Fullerton @ CSUB Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Fullerton -5.5

WIN

Fullerton crushed Bakersfield by 16 two weeks ago and the Roadrunners have only gotten worse since, losing three straight by 20+ PPG while the Titans roll with five double-digit scorers.

UCF UCF @ UTAH Utah

Utah +1.5

LOSS

Utah's 8-7 home record and paint dominance neutralizes UCF's 3-4 road struggles in a pace-down grind

TA&M Texas A&M @ OU Oklahoma

Oklahoma -1.5

LOSS

Oklahoma's 9-4 home record and Griffin's interior dominance trump Texas A&M's 5-5 road struggles in a line the market can't price.

UVU Utah Valley -6.5 @ UTA UT Arlington

UT Arlington +5.5

LOSS

Utah Valley's 4-7 road record and offensive struggles away from home make this spread 2-3 points too high against a grinding Arlington defense.

WCU Western Carolina -9.5 @ VMI VMI

Western Carolina -9.5

WIN

Western Carolina's balanced attack and superior efficiency exploits VMI's defensive collapse at home — Catamounts win by 13+

JMU James Madison -1.5 @ GAST Georgia State

Georgia State +1.5

LOSS

Georgia State +1.5 cashes as JMU's brutal road form (4-10) meets a 7-5 home team in a revenge spot with balanced scoring depth

MSST Mississippi State @ SC South Carolina -1.5

Mississippi State +1.5

LOSS

Mississippi State's offensive efficiency and rebounding edge overwhelm a mentally checked-out South Carolina squad that's lost six straight and can't score.

PORT Portland @ SEA Seattle U

Portland +8.5

LOSS

Portland's road woes are overblown — they just beat Seattle U two weeks ago and can hang in another grind-it-out slugfest.

LMU Loyola Marymount -2.5 @ USD San Diego

San Diego +2.5

LOSS

San Diego's home edge and LMU's road struggles make this line 1-2 points off — backing the home dog in a pace-up rematch.

UK Kentucky @ AUB Auburn -2.5

Auburn -2.5

LOSS

Auburn -2.5 at home against a Kentucky team that's 3-4 on the road, getting a full point of value versus market consensus at -3.5.

TXST Texas State -3.5 @ UL Louisiana

Louisiana +3.5

WIN

Texas State's 3-9 road record and structural offensive limitations make them vulnerable to a Louisiana squad that plays faster and thrives at home.

WAG Wagner @ SFPA Saint Francis

Wagner +1.5

WIN

Wagner's offensive efficiency and defensive discipline exploits Saint Francis's 6-game skid and 88 PPG allowed — Seahawks win outright on the road