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All Picks
Saturday, Feb 21
19W-11L
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UND
North Dakota
@
SDST
South Dakota State
-6.5
North Dakota +6.5
LOSS
North Dakota's superior shooting efficiency and recent road form make them the value play against a South Dakota State squad that's lost 4 of 5 and can't cover their offensive flaws.
WIN
Winthrop
@
HPU
High Point
-8.5
Winthrop +8.5
WIN
Winthrop's rebounding edge and interior mismatch with Duncomb keeps this within a possession late — take the 8.5 points with the battle-tested road dogs
KSU
Kansas State
@
TTU
Texas Tech
-12.5
Texas Tech -13.5
WIN
Texas Tech's 14-1 home dominance and five-headed scoring attack overwhelms a K-State squad that's 1-8 on the road and relies too heavily on two stars
DEL
Delaware
@
MTSU
Middle Tennessee
-8.5
Over 136.5
WIN
Both teams pushed 177 two weeks ago and Delaware's offense has averaged 80 PPG over their last four — this total is 10 points too low
DSU
Delaware State
@
MORG
Morgan State
-5.5
Under 147.5
LOSS
Delaware State's 1-14 road record and offensive collapse (56.8 PPG last four games) makes this under a lock against a Morgan State team that doesn't need to explode to win at home.
HAMP
Hampton
@
STBK
Stony Brook
Under 136
LOSS
Hampton's road scoring woes and exhausted legs meet Stony Brook's home defensive identity — project 129 total in a February grinder
GASO
Georgia Southern
@
APP
App State
-7.5
Georgia Southern +7.5
LOSS
Georgia Southern's elite shooting efficiency and App State's recent offensive struggles make this number inflated by recency bias.
HOF
Hofstra
-8.5
@
NE
Northeastern
Hofstra -8.5
WIN
Hofstra dominated this matchup two weeks ago and faces a Northeastern team that's quit on the season at 2-8 at home with six straight losses
GT
Georgia Tech
@
LOU
Louisville
-23.5
Louisville -22.5
LOSS
Louisville's explosive home offense faces a Georgia Tech team that's 1-9 on the road, giving up 90+ in 3 of their last 5 road losses — this is a get-right blowout for the Cards.
CARK
Central Arkansas
-1.5
@
FGCU
Florida Gulf Coast
Florida Gulf Coast +1.5
WIN
FGCU's 10-6 home record and elite interior scoring exploits UCA's road struggles (5-9) and catastrophic 50% free throw shooting in what projects as a tight finish.
ARIZ
Arizona
@
HOU
Houston
-5.5
Arizona +5.5
WIN
Arizona's elite shooting (46.1% FG) and +10 rebounding edge neutralize Houston's home grind — take the better offensive team getting points
ASU
Arizona State
@
BAY
Baylor
-7.5
Arizona State +7.5
WIN
Arizona State's efficient offense and Baylor's four-game skid make this spread inflated by 3-4 points.
PAC
Pacific
@
GONZ
Gonzaga
-19.5
Over 144.5
LOSS
Gonzaga's elite pace and five 17+ PPG scorers overwhelm a Pacific defense that can't score or slow tempo on the road — Over 144.5 clears 150.
MONM
Monmouth
@
COFC
Charleston
Charleston -4.5
WIN
Charleston's elite three-point shooting exploits Monmouth's weak perimeter defense and road struggles in a double-digit home win
ND
Notre Dame
@
PITT
Pittsburgh
-1.5
Notre Dame +1.5
LOSS
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS at home during a five-game skid, while Notre Dame just snapped their road struggles with an 89-point explosion — take the better offense getting points.
DART
Dartmouth
@
COLU
Columbia
-7
Columbia -6.5
LOSS
Columbia's offensive firepower and home-court edge overwhelm a reeling Dartmouth squad that can't score and just lost the first meeting by 10.
MRSH
Marshall
-1.5
@
CCU
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina +1.5
WIN
Rested home dog with balanced scoring and a rest edge over a road-weary Marshall team playing their third game in six days — line should be 3.5, not 1.5
SJSU
San Jose State
@
BOIS
Boise State
-16.5
Over 144.5
WIN
Boise's recent offensive struggles and defensive lapses combined with San Jose's improved shooting make this total too low for a revenge game at altitude
VAL
Valparaiso
@
UIC
UIC
-7.5
UIC -7.5
LOSS
UIC's home dominance and Valpo's brutal 3-9 road record make this a clear fade of the underdog.
EVAN
Evansville
@
MUR
Murray State
-14.5
Murray State -14.5
WIN
Murray State bounces back at home against a broken Evansville road team that just scored 46 points and can't handle the Racers' rebounding dominance.
UNC
North Carolina
-1.5
@
SYR
Syracuse
Syracuse +2
LOSS
North Carolina's road woes and Syracuse's home dominance create value on the underdog, with the total primed to fly over in a Carrier Dome shootout.
BING
Binghamton
@
UML
UMass Lowell
-9.5
UMass Lowell -9.5
WIN
UMass Lowell dominates at home (8-3) against a Binghamton squad that's 1-13 on the road and can't defend balanced scoring attacks
UCSD
UC San Diego
@
UCI
UC Irvine
UC Irvine -4.5
LOSS
UC Irvine's balanced offense and momentum beats a rusty UC San Diego squad that can't score consistently on the road.
LUC
Loyola Chicago
@
JOES
Saint Joseph's
-9.5
Saint Joseph's -9.5
WIN
Saint Joseph's five-headed scoring attack crushed Loyola by 21 three weeks ago, and the Ramblers' road defense has only gotten worse — laying the points on a revenge rematch with style mismatch upside
MICH
Michigan
-2.5
@
DUKE
Duke
Duke +2.5
WIN
Duke at home off extended rest against an unproven road warrior — the pace mismatch and Cameron Indoor environment tilt this heavily toward the Blue Devils covering or winning outright.
ODU
Old Dominion
@
USM
Southern Miss
-3.5
Southern Miss -4.5
WIN
Southern Miss is 11-3 at home with a week of rest while ODU is 3-12 on the road and playing their third game in six days — the home/away split gap is massive and the line hasn't caught up.
UNLV
UNLV
-16.5
@
AF
Air Force
UNLV -15.5
WIN
Air Force is 3-23 and getting blown out nightly—UNLV dominates the glass and has the firepower to cover 15.5 easily.
ME
Maine
@
UNH
New Hampshire
Maine +3.5
WIN
Maine gets 7 days rest while New Hampshire plays on 2 days rest after getting blown out — tired legs and superior offensive efficiency make the underdog a steal.
SAM
Samford
@
MER
Mercer
-3.5
Samford +3.5
WIN
Samford's elite shooting and defensive discipline exploits Mercer's recent defensive breakdowns in a pace-controlled grind
ALA
Alabama
-7.5
@
LSU
LSU
Alabama -6.5
WIN
Alabama is peaking at 99 PPG over five games while LSU has been outscored by 58 in their last three — we're buying the Tide at -6.5 before the market moves it to -7.5