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All Picks
Thursday, Feb 26
14W-16L
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TEM
Temple
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FAU
Florida Atlantic
-4.5
Florida Atlantic -4.5
LOSS
FAU is rested, balanced, and 9-5 at home β Temple's four-game skid and road struggles make this a mismatch the line undervalues by 2-3 points.
VMI
VMI
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SAM
Samford
-18.5
Samford -17.5
WIN
Samford's balanced offense and home dominance crushes VMI's 1-13 road disaster β talent gap plus venue edge equals easy cover
MOST
Missouri State
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LT
Louisiana Tech
-3.5
Louisiana Tech -2.5
LOSS
Louisiana Tech is 13-2 at home and owns the head-to-head blueprint against a Missouri State team that's lost 5 straight and can't defend on the road.
UNCG
UNC Greensboro
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UTC
Chattanooga
-3.5
Chattanooga -3.5
LOSS
Chattanooga's red-hot offense and UNCG's abysmal 3-10 road record make this a straightforward home cover in a conference game where form trumps standing.
SDST
South Dakota State
-12.5
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KC
Kansas City
South Dakota State -11.5
WIN
Kansas City has been destroyed by every competent team they've faced, and South Dakota State's balanced attack will exploit a defense that's allowed 30+ point losses three times in six games
DEL
Delaware
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JXST
Jacksonville State
-8.5
Delaware +7.5
LOSS
Jacksonville State's four-game losing streak and defensive breakdowns make this line 2-3 points too high against a Delaware team playing their best offensive basketball of February.
HAW
Hawai'i
-2.5
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UCD
UC Davis
UC Davis +1.5
LOSS
UC Davis protects home court as Hawai'i's road woes continue β the line is 1-2 points too low on the Aggies.
NCAT
North Carolina A&T
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UNCW
UNC Wilmington
-13.5
UNC Wilmington -13.5
WIN
UNC Wilmington's elite home defense and balanced scoring overwhelms a turnover-prone road team that's 4-10 away from home.
CHST
Chicago State
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LIU
Long Island University
-11.5
Under 140.5
WIN
Chicago State's road offense is historically bad (2-16 away), LIU's home defense locks in, and both teams grind in conference playβthis stays under 140.5 easily.
NDSU
North Dakota State
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STMN
St. Thomas-Minnesota
-3.5
North Dakota State +4.5
LOSS
North Dakota State's rebounding edge (37.4 vs 29.6) and elite three-point shooting (40.2%) neutralizes St. Thomas's home split advantage β Bison cover and potentially win outright
ALCN
Alcorn State
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TXSO
Texas Southern
-7.5
Texas Southern -7.5
LOSS
Texas Southern's home dominance meets Alcorn's catastrophic road splits β the 7-4 home team buries the 2-16 road disaster by double digits.
UNCA
UNC Asheville
-13.5
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GWEB
Gardner-Webb
UNC Asheville -13.5
LOSS
Gardner-Webb can't defend the perimeter and has been torched for 86 PPG over six straight losses β UNC Asheville's five three-point threats and rest advantage make this a blowout waiting to happen.
TNTC
Tennessee Tech
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UTM
UT Martin
-7.5
Tennessee Tech +8.5
LOSS
Tennessee Tech catching 8.5 against a UT Martin team that's lost four straight and scoring under 60 at home twice in the last week.
WIN
Winthrop
-6.5
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CHSO
Charleston Southern
Winthrop -6.5
LOSS
Winthrop's rebounding edge and interior dominance with Duncomb should overwhelm a CSU team that's 4-11 on the road and can't shoot from deep
NMSU
New Mexico State
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WKU
Western Kentucky
-6.5
Western Kentucky -5.5
WIN
WKU's red-hot offense (89.7 PPG over last 6) and 5-day rest edge a road-challenged NMSU squad that scores 18.6 fewer points away from home
ACU
Abilene Christian
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UTU
Utah Tech
-3.5
Utah Tech -3.5
WIN
Utah Tech's interior dominance and home court edge make them a 6-point favorite masquerading as a 3.5-point favorite against a road-allergic ACU squad
FIU
Florida International
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SHSU
Sam Houston
Sam Houston -6.5
WIN
Sam Houston is 11-1 at home and FIU is 2-9 on the road scoring just 56.8 PPG in true away games β the home/road split is massive and the line doesn't respect it enough
TAR
Tarleton State
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UVU
Utah Valley
-17.5
Utah Valley -16.5
LOSS
Utah Valley's undefeated home defense against a road team they just beat by 28 β 16.5 doesn't cover the gap.
LIB
Liberty
-1.5
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KENN
Kennesaw State
Liberty -1.5
LOSS
Liberty's shooting variance reverses in bounce-back spot against overmatched home dog with no rim pressure or three-point threat
UNH
New Hampshire
-1.5
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BING
Binghamton
Binghamton +1.5
WIN
Binghamton's home splits crush New Hampshire's 1-13 road record; fade the Wildcats' offensive collapse away from Durham.
URI
Rhode Island
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SBU
St. Bonaventure
-2.5
Rhode Island +2.5
LOSS
St. Bonaventure's defense is completely broken (82.7 PPG allowed last 3 games) while Rhode Island thrives in low-possession grind games β taking the points with the road dog.
NHVN
New Haven
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WAG
Wagner
-1.5
Wagner -1.5
WIN
Wagner's 5-day rest edge, home-court balance, and 3-point shooting gap overwhelm a tired New Haven squad on short rest and a road back-to-back.
STBK
Stony Brook
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MONM
Monmouth
-4
Stony Brook +4.5
LOSS
Stony Brook is the sharper offensive team with revenge motivation and an offensive rebounding edge that should keep this tight β grabbing the points with the better shooting squad in a bloated line
MORE
Morehead State
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LR
Little Rock
-2.5
Morehead State +2.5
WIN
Morehead State's offensive firepower and recent road form are being undervalued against a rusty Little Rock team with no answers for five double-digit scorers.
FGCU
Florida Gulf Coast
-6.5
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UNF
North Florida
Florida Gulf Coast -5.5
LOSS
FGCU has won four straight, beat North Florida by 9 two weeks ago, and has the interior dominance to exploit a reeling Ospreys team that's 0-6 in their last six.
NE
Northeastern
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W&M
William & Mary
-11.5
Northeastern +11.5
WIN
William & Mary is 1-4 in their last five and laying double digits against a better-on-the-road Northeastern team that has the offensive firepower to keep this within single digits
EIU
Eastern Illinois
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LIN
Lindenwood
-7.5
Eastern Illinois +8.5
WIN
Eastern Illinois's balanced five-headed scoring attack exploits Lindenwood's porous defense and three-game slide; +8.5 is a gift against a broken home favorite.
ELON
Elon
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TOW
Towson
-5.5
Towson -5.5
LOSS
Towson's 10-3 home record and superior firepower overwhelm a struggling Elon squad that's 1-5 in their last six and can't score on the road.
FAMU
Florida A&M
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SOU
Southern
-8.5
Florida A&M +8.5
WIN
Florida A&M's elite three-point shooting (38.8%) and recent offensive surge keeps this within a possession against a Southern team that struggles from deep and barely covered at home against weaker co
TNST
Tennessee State
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SEMO
Southeast Missouri State
-3.5
Tennessee State +3.5
WIN
Tennessee State is the deeper, more efficient team getting disrespected as a road dog β their defense and offensive balance will expose SEMO's reliance on two streaky scorers.