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All Picks
Tuesday, Feb 24
16W-14L
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UK
Kentucky
-7.5
@
SC
South Carolina
South Carolina +7.5
LOSS
Kentucky can't cover on the road and the books are begging you to lay the chalk — grab the home dog with the pace advantage.
SJSU
San Jose State
-7.5
@
AF
Air Force
San Jose State -6.5
LOSS
Air Force's 16-game losing streak and defensive collapse makes them unbackable at home against a San Jose State team that dominates the glass and has two legitimate scoring threats
ISU
Iowa State
-12.5
@
UTAH
Utah
Utah +12.5
LOSS
Iowa State is just 5-4 on the road and Utah's dominant frontcourt keeps this a low-possession grind where the home dog covers easily
TENN
Tennessee
-3.5
@
MIZ
Missouri
Tennessee -3.5
LOSS
Tennessee's elite defense and road form crushes Missouri's inflated home record — give me the Vols by 7.
UCF
UCF
@
BYU
BYU
-11.5
BYU -11.5
LOSS
BYU's 15-2 home dominance meets UCF's road collapse (4-4, allowing 77.8 ppg away) in a pace-up mismatch the market is undervaluing at -11.5
WMU
Western Michigan
@
BGSU
Bowling Green
-12.5
Bowling Green -12.5
LOSS
Bowling Green bounces back from two home losses against a Western Michigan team that's 2-12 on the road and can't defend when traveling, covering easily in a double-digit win
ASU
Arizona State
@
TCU
TCU
-6.5
TCU -6.5
WIN
TCU's 13-5 home dominance and offensive rebounding edge exploits ASU's 4-7 road struggles and defensive glass weakness for a comfortable cover.
WASH
Washington
-4.5
@
RUTG
Rutgers
Washington -4.5
WIN
Washington's overwhelming frontcourt size and efficiency advantage exposes Rutgers' soft home resume against weak competition in a mismatch the books are protecting at -4.5.
USM
Southern Miss
@
ARST
Arkansas State
-9.5
Arkansas State -9.5
LOSS
Arkansas State's elite three-point shooting and home dominance overwhelms a Southern Miss team that's 3-11 on the road and lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace.
UL
Louisiana
@
TROY
Troy
-11.5
Troy -12.5
WIN
Troy bounces back at home against a dysfunctional road team that's 3-11 away and turns it over 15.4 times per game against a defense that forces 9.7 steals.
DUKE
Duke
-17.5
@
ND
Notre Dame
Duke -17.5
WIN
Duke's elite offense and suffocating defense will blow past a soft 17.5 number against a fading Notre Dame squad that can't score or stop anyone.
CIN
Cincinnati
@
TTU
Texas Tech
-6.5
Texas Tech -6.5
WIN
Texas Tech's home dominance (15-1) and balanced offense exploits Cincinnati's glaring road struggles (2-8), with the Red Raiders covering in a double-digit win.
AUB
Auburn
-2.5
@
OU
Oklahoma
Oklahoma +1.5
WIN
Blake Griffin's paint dominance and Oklahoma's 9-5 home record crush Auburn's 3-8 road struggles in a line that should favor the Sooners.
SLU
Saint Louis
-4.5
@
DAY
Dayton
Dayton +4.5
WIN
Dayton gets revenge at home against an overvalued Saint Louis team, with line value and a raucous crowd pushing this within a bucket.
BUF
Buffalo
@
AKR
Akron
-16
Under 158.5
LOSS
Buffalo's grind-it-out road style kills Akron's tempo edge — this stays in the 140s and the favorite doesn't cover a bloated number in a rock fight
FRES
Fresno State
@
CSU
Colorado State
-8.5
Fresno State +8.5
WIN
Fresno's guard pressure exploits Colorado State's turnover issues — they've got the firepower to keep this inside a possession late.
USI
Southern Indiana
@
MORE
Morehead State
-8.5
Morehead State -8.5
LOSS
Talent gap and home dominance trump Southern Indiana's recent road grit — Morehead State's shooting efficiency creates late separation for the cover.
BRAD
Bradley
@
UIC
UIC
-3.5
UIC -2.5
WIN
UIC's elite home three-point shooting and Bradley's 4-7 road record with an 11-point road scoring drop make this spread 2 points too low.
WVU
West Virginia
@
OKST
Oklahoma State
-1.5
Oklahoma State -1.5
WIN
West Virginia's road offense is completely broken (averaging 60 ppg in true road games), while Oklahoma State's home efficiency (69.5 ppg, 44.8% FG) remains intact despite a tough losing streak agains
ODU
Old Dominion
@
MRSH
Marshall
-6.5
Marshall -6.5
WIN
Marshall's home offensive efficiency and ODU's 3-13 road record with defensive breakdowns make this a double-digit Herd win
MARQ
Marquette
@
GTWN
Georgetown
-3.5
Under 150.5
WIN
Marquette's 0-10 road record meets Georgetown's desperate home defense — this grinds under 150.5 in a half-court slugfest.
GW
George Washington
-6.5
@
LAS
La Salle
La Salle +6.5
LOSS
George Washington's 3-7 road record and week-long layoff make them vulnerable against a La Salle team that just found defensive rhythm at home with fresh legs.
MASS
Massachusetts
-4.5
@
BALL
Ball State
Ball State +4.5
WIN
Ball State gets 4.5 at home with rest against a UMass team that's 5-7 on the road and bleeding points in a four-game skid — books are overvaluing records and undervaluing form.
MINN
Minnesota
@
MICH
Michigan
-21.5
Michigan -22.5
LOSS
Michigan bounces back at home against a road-weary Minnesota squad that can't score away from home — Wolverines cover by halftime.
NU
Northwestern
@
IU
Indiana
-8.5
Northwestern +9.5
WIN
Northwestern's rest edge and Indiana's offensive drought make +9.5 a steal in a low-possession grinder
MIA
Miami
-2.5
@
FSU
Florida State
Florida State +2.5
LOSS
Florida State's home firepower and momentum against a gassed Miami team makes the home dog a sharp play in a rivalry spot.
NIU
Northern Illinois
@
TOL
Toledo
-11.5
Northern Illinois +12.5
WIN
Toledo wins but can't cover — Northern Illinois stays competitive through offensive rebounding and pace control against an inconsistent favorite
CMU
Central Michigan
@
KENT
Kent State
-10.5
Central Michigan +11.5
WIN
CMU's firepower and rest advantage make them a live double-digit dog against a rusty Kent State team that bleeds points at home.
WYO
Wyoming
@
BOIS
Boise State
-8.5
Wyoming +8.5
LOSS
Wyoming's offensive firepower and rebounding edge make 8.5 too many points against a Boise squad averaging just 65 PPG and coming off a 19-point road blowout.
UNM
New Mexico
-1.5
@
NEV
Nevada
New Mexico -1.5
LOSS
New Mexico's 7-3 road record and superior ball control make them the sharp side in a toss-up line that should be -2.5 or higher.