All Picks

MORG Morgan State @ SCST South Carolina State -1.5

Morgan State +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Morgan State's ball security and shooting efficiency against a home-dependent South Carolina State team that's 1-15 on the road makes the Bears live as short road dogs.

SCU Santa Clara @ SMC Saint Mary's -5.5

Saint Mary's -5.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Saint Mary's 15-0 home fortress crushes a Santa Clara defense that's given up 90+ twice in three road games — offensive rebounding mismatch and depth win this by double digits

TLSA Tulsa -4.5 @ TULN Tulane

Tulsa -4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Tulsa's offensive depth and road pedigree makes them the better team catching soft points in a pace-up spot against a grind-it-out Tulane squad

XAV Xavier @ PROV Providence -6.5

Providence -6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Xavier is 1-8 on the road and gets bulldozed by a Providence squad that's 9-5 at home with a lethal 1-2 punch and dominant rebounding edge

EVAN Evansville @ BEL Belmont -20.5

Belmont -20.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Belmont's balanced elite offense and home dominance will overwhelm a spiraling Evansville squad that's 2-11 on the road and coming off a 38-point home loss.

UNT North Texas -1.5 @ CLT Charlotte

North Texas +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Charlotte's home record is inflated by cupcakes, while North Texas has wins over elite conference opponents and superior offensive efficiency — plus books are already moving the line toward the Mean G

UGA Georgia @ VAN Vanderbilt -9.5

Georgia +9.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Georgia's superior offense, rebounding edge, and road form make this 9.5-point spread 2-3 points too high against a Vandy team limping through back-to-back losses

DEP DePaul @ CREI Creighton -4.5

Creighton -4.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Creighton gets revenge at home where they're 11-4 and elite, while DePaul's 2-8 road split and defensive collapse away from home (75.1 PPG allowed) sets up a double-digit cover.

DAV Davidson @ DUQ Duquesne -2.5

Davidson +3.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Davidson's elite shooting and tempo control against a turnover-prone Duquesne squad creates a pace mismatch the market hasn't priced in — road dogs with firepower cash tickets

OSU Ohio State @ IOWA Iowa -6.5

Ohio State +6.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Line disagreement across books and Iowa's recent home struggles make Ohio State +6.5 a sharp play in a low-possession grind

GMU George Mason @ JOES Saint Joseph's -1.5

Saint Joseph's -1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Saint Joe's revenge spot at home with five deep scorers against a George Mason team that's lost 4 of 5 by double digits and can't score on the road.

ILST Illinois State @ UNI Northern Iowa -6.5

Under 131.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Illinois State is 4-9 on the road and UNI's home defense locks down in low-possession games — under 131.5 is 5-6 points off.

NKU Northern Kentucky -7.5 @ CLE Cleveland State

Northern Kentucky -7.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Northern Kentucky's discipline and depth overwhelm a Cleveland State team that's lost five straight and can't stop anyone—Norse cover the 7.5.

BUT Butler @ VILL Villanova -9.5

Villanova -9.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Villanova's post-loss fury and rebounding dominance crush Butler's 4-7 road squad in a mismatch the line undersells

OAK Oakland -5.5 @ IUIN IU Indianapolis

Over 170.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Two offense-first, defense-optional teams with 150+ combined PPG and a total priced for a grinder — smash the over.

CIT The Citadel @ FUR Furman -15.5

Furman -15.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Furman at home exploits a road-weary Citadel defense that's bleeding points and has quit on the season — lay the points.

MSST Mississippi State @ ALA Alabama -14.5

Alabama -14.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

Alabama's 96 PPG offensive explosion meets Mississippi State's road defensive collapse — Tide cover double digits in conference play at home

LSU LSU @ MISS Ole Miss -1.5

LSU +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 WIN

LSU's elite interior size and rebounding overwhelm Ole Miss's porous paint defense in a critical road spot

QUC Queens University -1.5 @ EKU Eastern Kentucky

Eastern Kentucky +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Eastern Kentucky is 8-5 at home facing a Queens team that shoots 35.7% overall and 17.4% from three while going 5-10 on the road — the wrong team is favored by 1.5.

USU Utah State @ SDSU San Diego State -1.5

Utah State +1.5

🔥🔥🔥🔥 LOSS

Utah State is the better team with superior shooting efficiency, already beat SDSU head-to-head three weeks ago, and the books are gifting us points on recency bias.

HC Holy Cross @ BU Boston University -8.5

Holy Cross +8.5

LOSS

Holy Cross's elite shooting efficiency and balanced attack keeps this within a possession in a defensive slugfest at BU.

MD Maryland @ NEB Nebraska -17.5

Maryland +17.5

WIN

Maryland's elite shooting and scoring depth can keep this within three possessions against Nebraska's grind-it-out offense

MER Mercer -1.5 @ WCU Western Carolina

Western Carolina +1.5

WIN

Western Carolina's 8-3 home form and offensive surge clash with Mercer's 5-10 road record — fade the favorite in a hostile gym where the Catamounts thrive.

WRST Wright State -2.5 @ PFW Purdue Fort Wayne

Purdue Fort Wayne +2.5

LOSS

Purdue Fort Wayne is 11-3 at home and gets revenge against a shaky road Wright State team — the line undervalues the venue split.

GASO Georgia Southern @ JMU James Madison -5.5

James Madison -5.5

WIN

James Madison's elite home court dominance (11-3) and defensive length crush a road-weary Georgia Southern squad that's 6-9 away from home and reeling from recent losses.

ECU East Carolina -4.5 @ UTSA UTSA

UTSA +4.5

WIN

UTSA gets revenge at home against a road-challenged ECU squad that's 3-7 away and can't shoot — take the points with the desperate home dog.

USF South Florida -11.5 @ RICE Rice

South Florida -11.5

WIN

South Florida gets six days of rest to prep for a Rice team bleeding turnovers and home losses — the Bulls force chaos, run the floor, and cover easily.

OMA Omaha -1.5 @ SDAK South Dakota

Omaha -1.5

LOSS

Omaha's 7-day rest advantage and recent offensive surge overwhelm a South Dakota home court that's gone cold (2-4 in last 6 at home).

UNLV UNLV @ GCU Grand Canyon -7.5

Grand Canyon -7.5

WIN

Grand Canyon exacts revenge at home with a 10+ point win, covering the 7.5-point spread against a UNLV team that struggles on the road

SEA Seattle U -6.5 @ PEPP Pepperdine

Seattle U -5.5

WIN

Seattle U's defensive identity and pace control overwhelms Pepperdine's home-court shooting variance in a game that stays under 140 total points.